Bundesliga 2024-2025: Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction

Augsburg

Home Team
47%
VS

Union Berlin

Away Team
28%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 33 24 7 2 95 32 63 79
2 Leverkusen 33 19 11 3 70 41 29 68
3 Ein Frankfurt 33 16 9 8 65 45 20 57
4 Freiburg 33 16 7 10 48 50 -2 55
5 Dortmund 33 16 6 11 68 51 17 54
6 Mainz 33 14 9 10 53 41 12 51
7 RB Leipzig 33 13 12 8 51 45 6 51
8 Werder Bremen 33 13 9 11 50 56 -6 48
9 Stuttgart 33 13 8 12 61 51 10 47
10 M'gladbach 33 13 6 14 55 56 -1 45
11 Augsburg 33 11 10 12 34 49 -15 43
12 Wolfsburg 33 10 10 13 55 54 1 40
13 Union Berlin 33 9 10 14 33 50 -17 37
14 St Pauli 33 8 8 17 28 39 -11 32
15 Hoffenheim 33 7 11 15 46 64 -18 32
16 Heidenheim 33 8 5 20 36 60 -24 29
17 Holstein Kiel 33 6 7 20 49 77 -28 25
18 Bochum 33 5 7 21 31 67 -36 22

Recent Trends

Augsburg ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Bochum (Goals: 2 - 1)

Union Berlin ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 4 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Augsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.40
# Clean Sheets: 1

Union Berlin

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.10
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Union Berlin is anticipated to end in a victory for the home team, Augsburg, with a 47.0% probability. The game is expected to feature under 2.5 goals, a prediction supported by a 48.0% probability. Currently, Augsburg sits in 11th place with 43 points, while Union Berlin is in 13th position with 37 points, both teams looking to secure a stronger finish as the season concludes.

Match Analysis

Augsburg has been struggling in recent matches, suffering three consecutive defeats, including a 0-4 loss to Stuttgart and a 1-3 defeat against Holstein Kiel at home. Their recent poor form is underscored by an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game over the last five matches, despite having a higher expected goals average of 1.692. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match and managed just one clean sheet in their last five encounters. Union Berlin, on the other hand, hasn't fared much better, with their last three games resulting in a loss to Heidenheim and draws against Werder Bremen and Bochum. They have scored an average of 1.0 goal per game in their last five matches, while their expected goals average is lower at 0.7. Defensively, Union Berlin has been porous, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, with only one clean sheet in the same period.

Final Prediction

Augsburg holds an edge in this matchup primarily due to their slightly better defensive record and home advantage. While both teams have struggled offensively, Augsburg's higher expected goals suggest they might find the net more effectively. A key factor to watch will be Augsburg's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, which could be the deciding factor in this contest.