Latest La Liga AI Predictions: Results, Under/Over, Corners & Shots

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Last updated: 2026-06-15

Game #1

Real Madrid

HOME
VS

Ath Bilbao

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Real Madrid
67.3%
Draw
17.0%
Ath Bilbao
15.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
60.3%
Under 2.5
39.7%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
56.5%
No Goal
43.5%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #2

Mallorca

HOME
VS

Oviedo

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Mallorca
62.3%
Draw
19.1%
Oviedo
18.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
50.8%
Under 2.5
49.2%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
50.8%
No Goal
49.2%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #3

Betis

HOME
VS

Levante

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Betis
60.8%
Draw
19.8%
Levante
19.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
50.9%
Under 2.5
49.1%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
57.1%
No Goal
42.9%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #4

Girona

HOME
VS

Elche

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Girona
57.6%
Draw
21.1%
Elche
21.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
56.6%
No Goal
43.4%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #5

Celta

HOME
VS

Sevilla

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Celta
57.3%
Draw
21.2%
Sevilla
21.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
52.6%
Under 2.5
47.4%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
55.6%
No Goal
44.4%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #6

Alaves

HOME
VS

Vallecano

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Alaves
44.7%
Draw
25.7%
Vallecano
29.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
44.6%
Under 2.5
55.4%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
51.3%
No Goal
48.7%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #7

Villarreal

HOME
VS

Ath Madrid

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Villarreal
42.7%
Draw
24.7%
Ath Madrid
32.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
55.0%
Under 2.5
45.0%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
60.7%
No Goal
39.3%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #8

Espanol

HOME
VS

Sociedad

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Espanol
40.7%
Draw
24.3%
Sociedad
35.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
50.6%
Under 2.5
49.4%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
52.1%
No Goal
47.9%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #9

Getafe

HOME
VS

Osasuna

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Getafe
37.1%
Draw
26.0%
Osasuna
36.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
35.9%
Under 2.5
64.1%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
43.5%
No Goal
56.5%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 No Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #10

Valencia

HOME
VS

Barcelona

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Valencia
22.8%
Draw
20.5%
Barcelona
56.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
54.4%
Under 2.5
45.6%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
51.8%
No Goal
48.2%

Predicted Result

Away Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

What's Inside Each Match Analysis

Click on any match card above to access our in-depth match analysis pages. Each article provides comprehensive insights you won't find elsewhere:

AI-Generated Match Preview

Data-driven match analysis with prediction summary, team form assessment, and key tactical insights.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Analysis

Detailed probability breakdown for goals predictions based on team scoring patterns and defensive records.

Shots Predictions

Expected shots derived from neural network probability distributions, not simple averages.

Corners Predictions

Neural network-based corner kick predictions with probability context for more informed analysis.

Goal Spread Predictions

Expected goal difference (home - away) with full probability distributions for handicap analysis.

Learn About Our Methodology

AI-Powered La Liga Predictions

La Liga is Spain's top football division, home to some of the world's most technically gifted teams. Our AI models analyze last 10 seasons of La Liga data, processing approximately 700 features including Expected Goals (xG), shots, corners, and team performance metrics to generate predictions with full probability context.

Our proprietary neural network models are trained on 10 seasons of La Liga data and leverage approximately 700 features including latest teams performance, Games metrics , Expected Goals, Corners, Shots.

Match Winner
Under/Over 2.5
Shots
Goal No Goal
Corners
Goal Spread

What sets us apart: Unlike competitors who provide simple averages for shots and corners, our neural network models generate expected values derived from probability distributions. This means our predictions capture the full range of likely outcomes, providing deeper analytical insight than basic statistical averages.

Our models incorporate recent team form, home/away performance differentials, Expected Goals (xG), and match-level metrics such as shots made and conceded, corners, fouls, and possession patterns to deliver comprehensive match predictions.

Historical La Liga KPIs

Explore how key La Liga metrics have evolved over the last 10 seasons. These trends inform our AI models and provide context for current predictions.

46%
Home Wins %
28%
Away Wins %
26%
Draws %
48%
Over 2.5 Goals %
51%
Both Teams Score %
2.6
Avg Goals per Match
23.7
Avg Shots per Match
9.5
Avg Corners per Match

Match Results Trend

La Liga match results trend chart showing home wins, away wins, and draws percentages across seasons

Goals & Over 2.5 Trend

La Liga goals trend chart showing average goals scored and over 2.5 percentage across seasons

Match Metrics Trend

La Liga match metrics chart showing average shots and corners per match across seasons

2025-2026 La Liga Teams

Alaves
Ath Bilbao
Ath Madrid
Barcelona
Betis
Celta
Elche
Espanol
Getafe
Girona
Levante
Mallorca
Osasuna
Oviedo
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Sociedad
Valencia
Vallecano
Villarreal

La Liga Power Rankings

Two rating models, one table. ELO measures accumulated season strength. Glicko-2 adds a confidence layer — flagging teams whose form is inconsistent. The Rank Δ column shows where both systems disagree most. Updated after every matchday.

View Power Rankings

Cross-League Prediction Hub

Compare predictions across all five leagues in one view. Sort matches by over/under 2.5 probability, goal spread, corners, or draw likelihood.

O/U 2.5 Spread Corners BTTS Draws

Prediction Transparency

We believe in full transparency. All our historical predictions and their outcomes are publicly available. Track our prediction accuracy and model performance over time:

Current Season Performance 2024-2025 Season Performance Model Calibration

Get Daily La Liga Predictions

If you like our content and want to receive daily predictions, subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven La Liga predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel

Download La Liga Probability Data

Every match analysis includes downloadable probability distributions in JSON and CSV format. Access full PDFs, CDFs, and match prediction data for your own analysis.

Open any match analysis above and download structured data with a free account.

Learn How to Use Our Data

Frequently Asked Questions

We are the only sports analytics platform providing neural network-based probability predictions for La Liga matches that go beyond simple averages. Our models generate expected values from deep learning with full probability context for shots and corners predictions, giving you deeper insight into the range of likely outcomes.

Our neural networks process approximately 700 features including Expected Goals (xG), shots made and conceded, corners data, recent team form, and historical match data spanning 10 La Liga seasons.

We provide predictions for match winner (home, draw, away with probabilities), under/over 2.5 goals, corners predictions, shots predictions, and goal/no goal predictions. Each prediction type uses a dedicated neural network model.

We believe in full transparency. All our historical predictions and outcomes are publicly available on our performance tracking page, where you can verify our accuracy across different prediction types and seasons.

A probability distribution shows the likelihood of each possible outcome, not just a single prediction. For example, for corners predictions, instead of just saying 'expected 9 corners,' our models provide the expected value derived from neural network probability distributions, giving you deeper insight than simple averages. Learn more about probability distributions.

We provide two types of charts in each match analysis. The probability distribution chart shows you the likelihood of each possible outcome—the peak indicates the most likely result, and the spread shows how certain the prediction is. The CDF (Cumulative Distribution Function) chart is perfect for understanding over/under scenarios—it shows the probability of outcomes being less than or equal to any value. Read our complete guide to understanding probability charts.

Our predictions are generated on average 2-3 days before each matchday. We process the latest match results, team form data, and performance metrics to ensure predictions reflect the most current information available.

La Liga is known for its emphasis on possession-based football and technical skill, with historically strong home advantage (around 47% home wins). The league features a mix of dominant clubs and competitive mid-table teams. Our models capture these league-specific dynamics through features designed by football analytics experts.