Today's AI Tennis Predictions and Analysis

Last updated: 2026-03-21

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Francisco Cerundolo

VS

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Win Probability

74.8%
25.2%
Cerundolo Tirante

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Brandon Nakashima

VS

Marin Cilic

Win Probability

72.9%
27.1%
Nakashima Cilic

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Ben Shelton

VS

Alexander Shevchenko

Win Probability

71.5%
28.5%
Shelton Shevchenko

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Felix Auger-Aliassime

VS

Marton Fucsovics

Win Probability

64.4%
35.6%
Auger-Aliassime Fucsovics

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Andrey Rublev

VS

Alejandro Tabilo

Win Probability

60.3%
39.7%
Rublev Tabilo

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

VS

Quentin Halys

Win Probability

58.5%
41.5%
Fokina Halys

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Aleksandar Vukic

VS

Rafael Jodar

Win Probability

58.1%
41.9%
Vukic Jodar

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Frances Tiafoe

VS

Arthur Cazaux

Win Probability

54.4%
45.6%
Tiafoe Cazaux

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Alex Michelsen

VS

Cameron Norrie

Win Probability

50.8%
49.2%
Michelsen Norrie

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Corentin Moutet

VS

Tomas Machac

Win Probability

46.5%
53.5%
Moutet Machac

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Terence Atmane

VS

Arthur Rinderknech

Win Probability

43.2%
56.8%
Atmane Rinderknech

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Zizou Bergs

VS

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Win Probability

42.5%
57.5%
Bergs Etcheverry

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Gabriel Diallo

VS

Ugo Humbert

Win Probability

39.5%
60.5%
Diallo Humbert

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Adam Walton

VS

Jakub Mensik

Win Probability

32.3%
67.7%
Walton Mensik

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Kamil Majchrzak

VS

Learner Tien

Win Probability

31.9%
68.1%
Majchrzak Tien

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Martin Damm

VS

Alexander Zverev

Win Probability

17.5%
82.5%
Damm Zverev

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Rei Sakamoto

VS

Daniil Medvedev

Win Probability

13.3%
86.7%
Sakamoto Medvedev

miami

masters_1000 | Round of 64 | hard
FL, U.S.A.

Damir Dzumhur

VS

Jannik Sinner

Win Probability

9.6%
90.4%
Dzumhur Sinner

What's Inside Each Match Analysis

Click on any match card above to access our in-depth match analysis pages. Each article provides comprehensive insights you won't find elsewhere:

Probability Distribution Charts

Interactive visualizations showing the full probability distribution for total games, aces, and double faults predictions.

Cumulative Distribution Functions

CDF charts to understand probabilities like "chance of more than 25 aces" or "probability of under 22 games".

Player Ranking Evolution

Historical ATP ranking charts for both players, showing form trends and career trajectory.

Proprietary Tennis Indices

Our custom-built metrics capturing player form, surface performance, and match dynamics.

AI-Powered Tennis Predictions

Our proprietary deep learning models are trained on more than 30,000 ATP matches and leverage over 500 features to generate accurate predictions. Unlike simple win/loss predictions, we generate full probability distributions for:

Match Winner
Total Games
Aces Predictions
Double Faults

Our models incorporate rolling averages by surface type (hard, clay, grass) and tournament category (Grand Slams, Masters 1000, ATP 500/250), along with our proprietary Form Index and Surface Index that quantify player momentum and surface-specific strengths.

Each feature carries different weight depending on the prediction type. For aces predictions, the surface is highly influential (grass courts produce far more aces than clay), tournament format matters (Grand Slams are best-of-5 sets, meaning more games and serving opportunities), plus each player's serve index and their recent serve performance in the last matches. Learn more about our Tennis Indices

Historical Tennis Analysis

Explore how key ATP match statistics have evolved across 11 seasons and 37,920 matches. These trends inform our AI models and provide context for current predictions.

37,920
Matches Analyzed
11
Seasons

ATP Tour (Best-of-3)

23.0
Avg Games
10.8
Avg Aces
5.5
Avg DFs

Grand Slams (Best-of-5)

30.3
Avg Games
14.5
Avg Aces
7.0
Avg DFs

ATP World #1 Ranking Timeline: Federer, Nadal, Djokovic to Sinner (2010-Present)

ATP #1 ranking timeline: Roger Federer held #1 in 2010, 2012, and 2018. Rafael Nadal held #1 in 2010-2011, 2013-2014, and 2017-2019. Novak Djokovic dominated with #1 in 2011-2016, 2018-2022, and 2023-2024. Andy Murray briefly held #1 in 2016-2017. Daniil Medvedev in 2022. Carlos Alcaraz from 2022 and Jannik Sinner from 2024.

ATP Tennis Match Statistics by Surface (Hard, Clay, Grass) Over Time

Average Total Games per ATP Match by Surface (Hard, Clay, Grass)

ATP Tour average total games per match by surface type from 2015 to present. Hard court matches average around 23 games, clay around 22.8, and grass around 23.8.

Average Aces per ATP Match by Surface (Hard, Clay, Grass)

ATP Tour average aces per match by surface from 2015 to present. Grass court matches produce the most aces (~14-15), followed by hard court (~12) and clay (~7-8).

Average Double Faults per ATP Match by Surface (Hard, Clay, Grass)

ATP Tour average double faults per match by surface from 2015 to present. Grass court matches average ~6 double faults, hard court ~5.5, and clay ~5.

Average Total Games per Grand Slam Match by Surface (Hard, Clay, Grass)

Grand Slam average total games per match by surface from 2015 to present. Hard court matches average around 30 games, clay around 29.5, and grass around 31.5.

Average Aces per Grand Slam Match by Surface (Hard, Clay, Grass)

Grand Slam average aces per match by surface from 2015 to present. Grass court Slam matches produce the most aces (~16-18), followed by hard court (~15-16) and clay (~9-10).

Average Double Faults per Grand Slam Match by Surface (Hard, Clay, Grass)

Grand Slam average double faults per match by surface from 2015 to present. Hard court Slam matches average ~7.8 double faults, grass ~6.5, and clay ~6.

ATP Tournament Coverage

We provide AI predictions for all major ATP Tour events, covering the following ATP calendar:

Grand Slams

  • Australian Open
  • Roland Garros
  • Wimbledon
  • US Open

Masters 1000

  • Indian Wells
  • Miami
  • Monte Carlo
  • Madrid
  • Rome
  • Toronto / Montreal
  • Cincinnati
  • Shanghai
  • Paris

ATP 500

  • Rotterdam
  • Dubai
  • Acapulco
  • Barcelona
  • Halle
  • Queen's Club
  • Hamburg
  • Washington
  • Tokyo
  • Vienna
  • Basel

ATP 250

  • Brisbane
  • Adelaide
  • Auckland
  • Montpellier
  • Buenos Aires
  • Munich
  • Stuttgart
  • Eastbourne
  • + 30 more tournaments

Prediction Transparency

We believe in full transparency. All our historical predictions and their outcomes are publicly available. Track our prediction accuracy and model performance over time:

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Frequently Asked Questions

Unlike other prediction services that only provide simple win/loss probabilities, we are the only platform offering full probabilistic distributions for aces and double faults predictions. Our deep learning models generate complete probability distributions, allowing you to see not just the expected value but the entire range of likely outcomes. This gives you unprecedented insight into serve statistics predictions that no other tennis prediction service provides.

Our models are trained on over 30,000 ATP matches and continuously refined. We believe in full transparency—all our historical predictions and outcomes are publicly available on our performance tracking page. You can verify our accuracy across different tournaments, surfaces, and prediction types.

A probability distribution shows the likelihood of each possible outcome, not just a single prediction. For example, instead of just saying "expected 24 games," we show you the probability of 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25+ games and so on. This is especially valuable for aces predictions and double faults predictions, where understanding the range of outcomes provides much deeper insight than a single number. Learn more about probability distributions.

We provide AI predictions for the entire ATP Tour calendar: all four Grand Slams (Australian Open, Roland Garros, Wimbledon, US Open), all nine Masters 1000 events, every ATP 500 tournament, and over 30 ATP 250 events. Our coverage includes matches on all surfaces—hard court, clay, and grass.

Our predictions are generated daily before matches begin. We process the latest ATP rankings, recent match results, and player form data to ensure predictions reflect the most current information available. Each match analysis page includes insights and predictions specific to that matchup.

Tennis Indices are our proprietary metrics that capture aspects of player performance not reflected in standard statistics. They include surface-specific form indicators, momentum metrics, and head-to-head adjustments. These indices are fed into our deep learning models to improve prediction accuracy. Learn more about our Tennis Indices.

Our deep learning models leverage over 500 features to generate predictions. These include rolling averages by surface type (hard, clay, grass) and tournament category (Grand Slams, Masters 1000, ATP 500/250), plus our proprietary Form Index and Surface Index. Each feature carries different weight depending on the prediction type. For example, aces predictions heavily rely on surface (grass produces more aces), tournament format (Grand Slams are best-of-5, meaning more serving opportunities), player serve indices, and recent serve performance trends.

We provide two types of charts in each match analysis. The probability distribution chart shows you the likelihood of each possible outcome—the peak indicates the most likely result, and the spread shows how certain the prediction is. The CDF (Cumulative Distribution Function) chart is perfect for understanding over/under scenarios—it shows the probability of outcomes being less than or equal to any value. Read our complete guide to understanding probability charts

Our proprietary ELO rating system is one of the key features fed into our neural networks. Unlike ATP rankings that reflect points accumulated over 52 weeks, ELO ratings capture current player strength by updating after every match. We calculate multiple ELO variants—including tournament-weighted, surface-specific, and performance-based ratings—that help our models understand player quality in real-time. These dynamic ratings, combined with our other features, enable our neural networks to generate accurate probability distributions for match outcomes. Learn more about our Tennis ELO Rating System