Bundesliga 2024-2025: M'gladbach vs Wolfsburg Prediction

M'gladbach

Home Team
46%
VS

Wolfsburg

Away Team
28%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 62%
Under 2.5: 38%
Goal: 59%
No Goal: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 33 24 7 2 95 32 63 79
2 Leverkusen 33 19 11 3 70 41 29 68
3 Ein Frankfurt 33 16 9 8 65 45 20 57
4 Freiburg 33 16 7 10 48 50 -2 55
5 Dortmund 33 16 6 11 68 51 17 54
6 Mainz 33 14 9 10 53 41 12 51
7 RB Leipzig 33 13 12 8 51 45 6 51
8 Werder Bremen 33 13 9 11 50 56 -6 48
9 Stuttgart 33 13 8 12 61 51 10 47
10 M'gladbach 33 13 6 14 55 56 -1 45
11 Augsburg 33 11 10 12 34 49 -15 43
12 Wolfsburg 33 10 10 13 55 54 1 40
13 Union Berlin 33 9 10 14 33 50 -17 37
14 St Pauli 33 8 8 17 28 39 -11 32
15 Hoffenheim 33 7 11 15 46 64 -18 32
16 Heidenheim 33 8 5 20 36 60 -24 29
17 Holstein Kiel 33 6 7 20 49 77 -28 25
18 Bochum 33 5 7 21 31 67 -36 22

Recent Trends

M'gladbach ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 4 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 3 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 1 - 2)

Wolfsburg ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 2 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

M'gladbach

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.78
# Clean Sheets: 0

Wolfsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.90
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between M'gladbach and Wolfsburg is expected to favor the home side, with a 46.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of M'gladbach securing a win is bolstered by their higher league standing, as they currently sit in 10th place, compared to Wolfsburg's 12th position. The prediction also suggests a high-scoring affair, with a 62.0% probability of the match yielding over 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, M'gladbach has faced mixed results, managing a draw against Hoffenheim in a thrilling 4-4 encounter while suffering defeats to Bayern Munich and Holstein Kiel. Their offensive efforts have been notable, averaging 1.4 goals per game in their recent matches, though their defensive frailties are evident with an average of 2.4 goals conceded per game. This defensive vulnerability is reflected in their lack of clean sheets in recent fixtures. On the other hand, Wolfsburg has struggled to find form, failing to secure a win in their last three matches. They earned a draw against Hoffenheim but succumbed to losses against Dortmund and Freiburg. Wolfsburg's attack has been less potent, averaging just 0.8 goals per game, while their defense has been slightly more robust than M'gladbach's, conceding 1.8 goals on average. Advanced metrics suggest that Wolfsburg has been underperforming offensively, with their expected goals not translating into actual goals.

Final Prediction

M'gladbach appears to have the upper hand in this fixture, primarily due to their superior attacking output and home advantage. While both teams have defensive weaknesses, M'gladbach's ability to score more consistently could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be whether Wolfsburg can capitalize on any defensive lapses from M'gladbach to reverse their current form and challenge the home side.