Bundesliga 2024-2025: Mainz vs Leverkusen Prediction

Mainz

Home Team
24%
VS

Leverkusen

Away Team
59%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%
Goal: 57%
No Goal: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 33 24 7 2 95 32 63 79
2 Leverkusen 33 19 11 3 70 41 29 68
3 Ein Frankfurt 33 16 9 8 65 45 20 57
4 Freiburg 33 16 7 10 48 50 -2 55
5 Dortmund 33 16 6 11 68 51 17 54
6 Mainz 33 14 9 10 53 41 12 51
7 RB Leipzig 33 13 12 8 51 45 6 51
8 Werder Bremen 33 13 9 11 50 56 -6 48
9 Stuttgart 33 13 8 12 61 51 10 47
10 M'gladbach 33 13 6 14 55 56 -1 45
11 Augsburg 33 11 10 12 34 49 -15 43
12 Wolfsburg 33 10 10 13 55 54 1 40
13 Union Berlin 33 9 10 14 33 50 -17 37
14 St Pauli 33 8 8 17 28 39 -11 32
15 Hoffenheim 33 7 11 15 46 64 -18 32
16 Heidenheim 33 8 5 20 36 60 -24 29
17 Holstein Kiel 33 6 7 20 49 77 -28 25
18 Bochum 33 5 7 21 31 67 -36 22

Recent Trends

Mainz ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bochum (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 0 - 2)

Leverkusen ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Augsburg (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Mainz

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.74
# Clean Sheets: 0

Leverkusen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.67
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Leverkusen seems poised for an exciting encounter, with Leverkusen predicted to come out on top. The probability of an away win stands at a convincing 59.0%, compared to a 24.0% chance for a home victory by Mainz. This match also promises goals, with a 59.0% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals. Currently, Leverkusen is second in the Bundesliga standings, while Mainz holds the sixth position.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Mainz has demonstrated a mix of results. They secured a confident 4-1 victory away against Bochum, drew 1-1 at home with Eintracht Frankfurt, and suffered a 3-0 defeat on the road to league leaders Bayern Munich. Their offensive output, averaging 1.6 goals per game over the last five matches, shows consistency, though they have yet to achieve a clean sheet during this period. On the other hand, Leverkusen's form has been slightly more stable. Despite a 4-2 home setback against Dortmund, they drew 2-2 away with Freiburg and earned a 2-0 home win over Augsburg. Leverkusen's attacking prowess is evident, with an average of 2.4 goals per game recently, and they have managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five matches. The team's ability to score and maintain defensive solidity could prove crucial.

Final Prediction

Leverkusen's edge in this contest is primarily due to their superior attacking form and recent defensive improvements compared to Mainz. Their higher position in the standings reflects a season-long consistency that Mainz has struggled to match. Fans should watch for Leverkusen's offensive strategies, as their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities could dictate the game's outcome.