Bundesliga 2024-2025: St Pauli vs Bochum Prediction

St Pauli

Home Team
58%
VS

Bochum

Away Team
20%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 40%
Under 2.5: 60%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 33 24 7 2 95 32 63 79
2 Leverkusen 33 19 11 3 70 41 29 68
3 Ein Frankfurt 33 16 9 8 65 45 20 57
4 Freiburg 33 16 7 10 48 50 -2 55
5 Dortmund 33 16 6 11 68 51 17 54
6 Mainz 33 14 9 10 53 41 12 51
7 RB Leipzig 33 13 12 8 51 45 6 51
8 Werder Bremen 33 13 9 11 50 56 -6 48
9 Stuttgart 33 13 8 12 61 51 10 47
10 M'gladbach 33 13 6 14 55 56 -1 45
11 Augsburg 33 11 10 12 34 49 -15 43
12 Wolfsburg 33 10 10 13 55 54 1 40
13 Union Berlin 33 9 10 14 33 50 -17 37
14 St Pauli 33 8 8 17 28 39 -11 32
15 Hoffenheim 33 7 11 15 46 64 -18 32
16 Heidenheim 33 8 5 20 36 60 -24 29
17 Holstein Kiel 33 6 7 20 49 77 -28 25
18 Bochum 33 5 7 21 31 67 -36 22

Recent Trends

St Pauli ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 2 - 1)

Bochum ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

St Pauli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.56
# Clean Sheets: 1

Bochum

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.03
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

St Pauli is favored to secure a victory over Bochum with a 58.0% probability of winning, while Bochum's chances stand at a mere 20.0%. A draw is possible at 22.0%, but the prediction leans towards a home victory. The match is expected to feature less than 2.5 goals, with a 40.0% likelihood of exceeding that mark. Currently, St Pauli is positioned 14th in the Bundesliga standings, while Bochum languishes at the bottom in 18th place.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, St Pauli has shown a mixed bag of results. They managed a commendable draw against high-flying Ein Frankfurt with a 2-2 scoreline, but suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat at home to Stuttgart, and played out a goalless stalemate against Werder Bremen. Despite their struggles, St Pauli's defensive unit has displayed resilience, conceding an average of only 1.0 goals in their last five encounters. Their attacking output of 0.6 goals per game, however, indicates room for improvement. On the other hand, Bochum's recent form has been less encouraging. A heavy 1-4 home defeat to Mainz highlighted defensive frailties, though they managed to hold Heidenheim and Union Berlin to draws. Bochum's defense has leaked an average of 1.4 goals per game over the past five fixtures, a concerning statistic that could be exploited by St Pauli. Their offensive efforts have mirrored St Pauli's, with an average of 1.0 goal per game, suggesting a potentially tight contest.

Final Prediction

St Pauli's slightly superior form and home advantage give them the edge in this encounter. Their ability to keep things tight at the back, coupled with Bochum's defensive vulnerabilities, could prove decisive. A key factor to observe will be whether St Pauli can convert their expected goal opportunities into actual goals, as this could be the difference maker in securing a crucial victory.