Bundesliga 2025-2026: St Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction
St Pauli
Home Team
10%
VS
RB Leipzig
Away Team
81%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5:
59%
Under 2.5:
41%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 55 | 11 | 44 | 41 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
| 3 | Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 29 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 27 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 17 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 14 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 12 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
| 18 | Mainz | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 8 |
Recent Trends
St Pauli
- Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 1)
RB Leipzig
- Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 6 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
St Pauli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.81
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.80
# Clean Sheets:
1
RB Leipzig
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.02
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
RB Leipzig is predicted to emerge victorious with an overwhelming 81% probability of winning against St Pauli. The game is expected to be lively, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals. Currently, RB Leipzig sits comfortably at the 4th position in the Bundesliga, while St Pauli is struggling in 16th place, fighting to avoid relegation.
Match Analysis
St Pauli has shown some resilience in their recent matches, managing a win against Heidenheim and securing draws against Mainz and FC Koln. Despite these efforts, their offensive struggles are evident, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game over the last five matches. Defensively, they have been shaky, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. However, they have managed to keep a clean sheet once, hinting at potential defensive improvements.
On the other hand, RB Leipzig has experienced a rollercoaster of performances. While they suffered back-to-back losses against Leverkusen and Union Berlin, they showcased their attacking prowess in a 6-0 thrashing of Ein Frankfurt. Their average of 1.8 goals scored per game, coupled with three clean sheets in their last five matches, underpins their strong defensive setup. RB Leipzig's expected goals and expected goals conceded metrics also suggest a more balanced and solid performance compared to St Pauli.
Final Prediction
RB Leipzig's higher attacking output and defensive strength give them a decisive edge over St Pauli. The key factor to watch in this matchup will be whether St Pauli's defense can withstand RB Leipzig's potent attack. With both teams having much to play for, it promises to be an exciting and high-energy encounter.