Bundesliga 2025-2026: Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim Prediction

Werder Bremen

Home Team
17%
VS

Hoffenheim

Away Team
68%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%
Goal: 57%
No Goal: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 15 13 2 0 55 11 44 41
2 Dortmund 15 9 5 1 26 12 14 32
3 Leverkusen 15 9 2 4 33 20 13 29
4 RB Leipzig 15 9 2 4 30 19 11 29
5 Hoffenheim 15 8 3 4 29 20 9 27
6 Stuttgart 15 8 2 5 25 22 3 26
7 Ein Frankfurt 15 7 4 4 30 30 0 25
8 Union Berlin 15 6 3 6 20 23 -3 21
9 Freiburg 15 5 5 5 25 26 -1 20
10 Werder Bremen 15 4 5 6 18 28 -10 17
11 FC Koln 15 4 4 7 22 24 -2 16
12 M'gladbach 15 4 4 7 18 24 -6 16
13 Hamburg 15 4 4 7 16 25 -9 16
14 Wolfsburg 15 4 3 8 23 28 -5 15
15 Augsburg 15 4 2 9 17 28 -11 14
16 St Pauli 15 3 3 9 13 26 -13 12
17 Heidenheim 15 3 2 10 13 34 -21 11
18 Mainz 15 1 5 9 13 26 -13 8

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Werder Bremen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.06
# Clean Sheets: 1

Hoffenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.54
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Werder Bremen and Hoffenheim is expected to favor the visitors, with Hoffenheim carrying a strong 68.0% probability of securing a victory. The game is predicted to have over 2.5 goals, with a 55.0% probability supporting this outcome. Currently, Hoffenheim is 5th in the Bundesliga standings, while Werder Bremen is positioned at 10th, which also reflects the disparity in their performance this season.

Match Analysis

Werder Bremen has encountered a challenging run in their recent fixtures, failing to secure a win in their last three outings. They managed a goalless draw against Augsburg and suffered defeats against Stuttgart and Hamburg, conceding a total of 7 goals while scoring only 2. Their recent form underlines their defensive vulnerabilities, highlighted by their average of 1.2 goals conceded per game over the last five matches. Despite this, their expected goals metric suggests they are creating opportunities, but execution remains an issue. Conversely, Hoffenheim has shown more resilience and effectiveness, gaining a significant win against Hamburg and holding Stuttgart to a draw. Although they fell to Dortmund, their performance has been relatively solid, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game over the last five matches. Notably, Hoffenheim's defense has proven more robust, maintaining two clean sheets in their recent games. The advanced metrics indicate that they slightly outperform Werder in expected goals, which could play a crucial role in the upcoming match.

Final Prediction

Hoffenheim's superior form and position in the league standings provide them with a clear edge over Werder Bremen. Their ability to score and maintain defensive solidity, as reflected in their recent performances and advanced metrics, suggests they are well-equipped to capitalize on Werder's defensive frailties. A key factor to watch will be Hoffenheim's attacking efficiency, which could determine the outcome in their favor.