La Liga 2024-2025: Alaves vs Osasuna Prediction

Alaves

Home Team
59%
VS

Osasuna

Away Team
20%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 37 27 4 6 99 39 60 85
2 Real Madrid 37 25 6 6 76 38 38 81
3 Ath Madrid 37 21 10 6 64 30 34 73
4 Ath Bilbao 37 19 13 5 54 26 28 70
5 Villarreal 37 19 10 8 67 49 18 67
6 Betis 37 16 11 10 56 49 7 59
7 Celta 37 15 7 15 57 56 1 52
8 Vallecano 37 13 12 12 41 45 -4 51
9 Osasuna 37 12 15 10 47 51 -4 51
10 Mallorca 37 13 8 16 35 44 -9 47
11 Sociedad 37 13 7 17 35 44 -9 46
12 Valencia 37 11 12 14 43 53 -10 45
13 Getafe 37 11 9 17 33 37 -4 42
14 Alaves 37 10 11 16 37 47 -10 41
15 Girona 37 11 8 18 44 56 -12 41
16 Sevilla 37 10 11 16 40 51 -11 41
17 Espanol 37 10 9 18 38 51 -13 39
18 Leganes 37 8 13 16 36 56 -20 37
19 Las Palmas 37 8 8 21 40 59 -19 32
20 Valladolid 37 4 4 29 26 87 -61 16

Recent Trends

Alaves ✅ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)

Osasuna ✅ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.68
# Clean Sheets: 4

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.42
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming La Liga clash between Alaves and Osasuna is predicted to favor the home side, Alaves, with a 59.0% probability of winning. The match is also expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 43.0% for over 2.5 goals. Currently, Osasuna sits in 9th place with 51 points, while Alaves is in 14th with 41 points, both teams looking to end their season on a high note.

Match Analysis

Alaves has shown a mixed bag of results in their last three games. They secured back-to-back 1-0 victories against Valladolid and Valencia, demonstrating a solid defensive setup with clean sheets in both matches. However, they experienced a narrow 1-0 defeat to Ath Bilbao, indicating their attacking struggles with an average of just 0.4 goals scored in the last five games. Alaves' defensive resilience is further highlighted by their four clean sheets in the last five matches, suggesting they are a tough team to break down. On the other hand, Osasuna comes into this match with a slightly more positive offensive output, evidenced by their average of 1.4 goals scored over the last five games. They have recently enjoyed victories against Espanol and Ath Madrid, showcasing their potential to perform against strong opposition. However, their defense has been somewhat shaky, conceding an average of 1.6 goals in the same timeframe. Their three clean sheets in the last five matches indicate they can be defensively sound when needed.

Final Prediction

Alaves' defensive solidity gives them the upper hand in this fixture, making them the likely victors. Their ability to keep clean sheets could prove crucial against an Osasuna side that has shown attacking prowess but inconsistency at the back. A key factor to watch will be if Osasuna can break through Alaves' defense, which could be the deciding factor in this closely contested encounter.