La Liga 2024-2025: Espanol vs Las Palmas Prediction

Espanol

Home Team
42%
VS

Las Palmas

Away Team
31%
Draw: 28%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 37 27 4 6 99 39 60 85
2 Real Madrid 37 25 6 6 76 38 38 81
3 Ath Madrid 37 21 10 6 64 30 34 73
4 Ath Bilbao 37 19 13 5 54 26 28 70
5 Villarreal 37 19 10 8 67 49 18 67
6 Betis 37 16 11 10 56 49 7 59
7 Celta 37 15 7 15 57 56 1 52
8 Vallecano 37 13 12 12 41 45 -4 51
9 Osasuna 37 12 15 10 47 51 -4 51
10 Mallorca 37 13 8 16 35 44 -9 47
11 Sociedad 37 13 7 17 35 44 -9 46
12 Valencia 37 11 12 14 43 53 -10 45
13 Getafe 37 11 9 17 33 37 -4 42
14 Alaves 37 10 11 16 37 47 -10 41
15 Girona 37 11 8 18 44 56 -12 41
16 Sevilla 37 10 11 16 40 51 -11 41
17 Espanol 37 10 9 18 38 51 -13 39
18 Leganes 37 8 13 16 36 56 -20 37
19 Las Palmas 37 8 8 21 40 59 -19 32
20 Valladolid 37 4 4 29 26 87 -61 16

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.02
# Clean Sheets: 0

Las Palmas

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.72
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Espanol and Las Palmas is predicted to favor the home side, with a 42.0% probability of Espanol securing a win. Meanwhile, Las Palmas has a 31.0% chance of victory, and the probability of a draw stands at 28.0%. Both teams are fighting to avoid relegation, with Espanol positioned 17th and Las Palmas in 19th place. The likelihood of the match featuring under 2.5 goals is 56.0%, indicating a potentially low-scoring encounter.

Match Analysis

Espanol enters this fixture on the back of a challenging run, having suffered losses in their last three matches, including a 2-0 defeat at home to league leaders Barcelona and a narrow 3-2 loss away to Leganes. They have struggled to find the net consistently, with an average of just 0.8 goals scored in their last five games. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, and have failed to keep a clean sheet in recent outings. Las Palmas, on the other hand, is also experiencing a tough period, with three consecutive 1-0 defeats, including losses against Leganes and Vallecano. Their attacking woes are evident, having failed to score in these matches. Despite conceding fewer goals on average than Espanol, with 1.0 goals per game, their expected goals against figure of 1.716 suggests potential defensive vulnerabilities that Espanol could exploit.

Final Prediction

Espanol's slight edge in this matchup stems from their home advantage and the marginally better probability of securing a win. A key factor to watch will be Espanol's ability to convert their attacking opportunities, as both teams have shown defensive frailties. The match promises to be a tightly contested affair, with potential implications for both teams' survival hopes in La Liga.