La Liga 2024-2025: Girona vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Girona

Home Team
12%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
77%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 37 27 4 6 99 39 60 85
2 Real Madrid 37 25 6 6 76 38 38 81
3 Ath Madrid 37 21 10 6 64 30 34 73
4 Ath Bilbao 37 19 13 5 54 26 28 70
5 Villarreal 37 19 10 8 67 49 18 67
6 Betis 37 16 11 10 56 49 7 59
7 Celta 37 15 7 15 57 56 1 52
8 Vallecano 37 13 12 12 41 45 -4 51
9 Osasuna 37 12 15 10 47 51 -4 51
10 Mallorca 37 13 8 16 35 44 -9 47
11 Sociedad 37 13 7 17 35 44 -9 46
12 Valencia 37 11 12 14 43 53 -10 45
13 Getafe 37 11 9 17 33 37 -4 42
14 Alaves 37 10 11 16 37 47 -10 41
15 Girona 37 11 8 18 44 56 -12 41
16 Sevilla 37 10 11 16 40 51 -11 41
17 Espanol 37 10 9 18 38 51 -13 39
18 Leganes 37 8 13 16 36 56 -20 37
19 Las Palmas 37 8 8 21 40 59 -19 32
20 Valladolid 37 4 4 29 26 87 -61 16

Recent Trends

Girona ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Leganes (Goals: 1 - 1)

Ath Madrid ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Betis (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 3 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.42
# Clean Sheets: 2

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.91
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Girona and Atlético Madrid is heavily skewed in favor of the visitors, with a 77.0% probability of Atlético Madrid taking the victory. The likelihood of the match seeing over 2.5 goals is 57.0%, suggesting an action-packed contest. Atlético Madrid currently sits in 3rd place in La Liga, vying for a strong finish, while Girona lingers in 15th place, looking to avoid the relegation threat.

Match Analysis

Recent performances tell a tale of contrasting fortunes for these two teams. Girona has faced a mixed bag of results in their last three outings, managing just one win against Valladolid while suffering narrow defeats to Sociedad and Villarreal. Their attack has been inconsistent, scoring only an average of 0.6 goals per game over their last five matches, although their expected goals (xG) suggest they should be finding the net more often. Atlético Madrid, on the other hand, has been in formidable form, securing two victories in their last three games, including an impressive 4-1 triumph over Betis. Despite a slip-up against Osasuna, their defense has been relatively tight, conceding only an average of 1.0 goal per match in their last five outings. Their attacking prowess was on full display with a 4-0 commanding win against Sociedad, indicating they can unleash a potent offensive barrage when needed.

Final Prediction

Atlético Madrid's superior form and higher league standing give them a decisive edge heading into this encounter. Their ability to both score goals and maintain defensive solidity could prove too much for a struggling Girona side. A key factor to watch will be Atlético's ability to capitalize on Girona's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair.