La Liga 2024-2025: Leganes vs Valladolid Prediction

Leganes

Home Team
74%
VS

Valladolid

Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 58%
No Goal: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 37 27 4 6 99 39 60 85
2 Real Madrid 37 25 6 6 76 38 38 81
3 Ath Madrid 37 21 10 6 64 30 34 73
4 Ath Bilbao 37 19 13 5 54 26 28 70
5 Villarreal 37 19 10 8 67 49 18 67
6 Betis 37 16 11 10 56 49 7 59
7 Celta 37 15 7 15 57 56 1 52
8 Vallecano 37 13 12 12 41 45 -4 51
9 Osasuna 37 12 15 10 47 51 -4 51
10 Mallorca 37 13 8 16 35 44 -9 47
11 Sociedad 37 13 7 17 35 44 -9 46
12 Valencia 37 11 12 14 43 53 -10 45
13 Getafe 37 11 9 17 33 37 -4 42
14 Alaves 37 10 11 16 37 47 -10 41
15 Girona 37 11 8 18 44 56 -12 41
16 Sevilla 37 10 11 16 40 51 -11 41
17 Espanol 37 10 9 18 38 51 -13 39
18 Leganes 37 8 13 16 36 56 -20 37
19 Las Palmas 37 8 8 21 40 59 -19 32
20 Valladolid 37 4 4 29 26 87 -61 16

Recent Trends

Leganes ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)

Valladolid ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 5)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leganes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.69
# Clean Sheets: 1

Valladolid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.36
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming La Liga matchup, Leganes is heavily favored to secure a victory against Valladolid, with a 74% probability of a home win. Meanwhile, the likelihood of Valladolid triumphing stands at a mere 12%, and a draw is pegged at 14%. With Leganes sitting in 18th place, fighting to avoid relegation, and Valladolid languishing at the bottom of the table in 20th place, this clash is crucial for both sides. The game is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Leganes enters this fixture on the back of a mixed bag of results over their last three games. They secured a vital 1-0 away victory against Las Palmas and a thrilling 3-2 win over Espanol at home. However, their away form faltered with a 3-0 defeat to Villarreal. The team's recent performances have shown resilience, particularly in their defensive organization, as evidenced by their lone clean sheet in the last five matches. With an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Leganes appears capable of both scoring and leaking goals. Conversely, Valladolid has struggled to find form, suffering three consecutive losses. Their offensive woes are apparent, with just one goal scored in their last three matches. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding six goals in the same period. The advanced metrics highlight their defensive frailties, with an average of 3.0 goals conceded per game over the last five fixtures. Despite both teams grappling with their challenges, Leganes seems better positioned to capitalize on Valladolid's vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Leganes is poised to have the upper hand in this encounter, primarily due to their slightly more robust recent performances and home advantage. With Valladolid's ongoing defensive struggles, Leganes' ability to score could prove decisive. Keep an eye on Leganes' attacking approach, as their ability to exploit Valladolid's defense could be the key factor in securing the predicted victory.