La Liga 2024-2025: Valencia vs Espanol Prediction

Valencia

Home Team
76%
VS

Espanol

Away Team
11%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 42%
Under 2.5: 58%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 32 23 4 5 88 32 56 73
2 Real Madrid 32 21 6 5 65 31 34 69
3 Ath Madrid 32 18 9 5 53 27 26 63
4 Betis 32 15 12 5 49 26 23 57
5 Villarreal 31 14 10 7 55 42 13 52
6 Betis 32 14 9 9 45 40 5 51
7 Mallorca 32 12 8 12 31 37 -6 44
8 Celta 32 12 7 13 47 49 -2 43
9 Sociedad 32 12 6 14 32 36 -4 42
10 Vallecano 32 10 11 11 35 39 -4 41
11 Osasuna 32 9 14 9 39 46 -7 41
12 Getafe 32 10 9 13 31 29 2 39
13 Espanol 31 10 8 13 34 40 -6 38
14 Valencia 32 9 11 12 36 48 -12 38
15 Sevilla 32 9 10 13 35 43 -8 37
16 Girona 32 9 7 16 39 51 -12 34
17 Las Palmas 32 8 8 16 38 52 -14 32
18 Alaves 32 7 10 15 34 46 -12 31
19 Leganes 32 6 11 15 29 48 -19 29
20 Valladolid 32 4 4 24 23 76 -53 16

Recent Trends

Valencia ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)

Espanol ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.58
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.99
# Clean Sheets: 2

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.42
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Valencia is predicted to secure a victory against Espanyol with a 76.0% probability. This match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 42.0% probability of exceeding that mark. Valencia currently sits in 14th place in La Liga, while Espanyol is just one spot above them in 13th. Both teams are neck and neck with 38 points, making this a crucial encounter in their battle to stay clear of the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Valencia enters this fixture with a mixed bag of recent performances. They managed to snatch a valuable draw away against Vallecano and boast impressive victories against Sevilla and Real Madrid, the latter being a significant morale booster. Defensively sound, they've only conceded twice in their last three outings, showcasing resilience. Their ability to keep clean sheets, with two in their last five games, could be pivotal. Espanyol, on the other hand, is riding a wave of form, having won their last three games, which includes a solid 4-0 away win against Vallecano. They have shown an attacking flair, averaging 1.8 goals per match in their last five. Defensively, they have matched Valencia's number of clean sheets in the same period. While Espanyol's expected goals conceded stand at 1.424, which is slightly higher than Valencia's, their recent performances indicate a team brimming with confidence.

Final Prediction

Valencia's recent strong defensive displays give them the edge in this matchup. Their ability to contain opponents, coupled with Espanyol’s slightly more vulnerable defense, could prove decisive. Watch out for Valencia's defensive organization, which could be the key factor in them securing the win and pulling ahead of Espanyol in the league standings.