La Liga 2024-2025: Vallecano vs Espanol Prediction

Vallecano

Home Team
86%
VS

Espanol

Away Team
6%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 29 21 3 5 82 28 54 66
2 Real Madrid 29 19 6 4 62 29 33 63
3 Ath Madrid 29 16 9 4 47 23 24 57
4 Ath Bilbao 29 14 11 4 46 24 22 53
5 Villarreal 28 13 8 7 51 39 12 47
6 Betis 29 13 8 8 40 36 4 47
7 Vallecano 29 10 10 9 33 31 2 40
8 Celta 29 11 7 11 42 42 0 40
9 Mallorca 29 11 7 11 28 35 -7 40
10 Sociedad 29 11 5 13 27 31 -4 38
11 Sevilla 29 9 9 11 33 39 -6 36
12 Getafe 29 9 9 11 26 25 1 36
13 Girona 29 9 7 13 37 45 -8 34
14 Osasuna 29 7 13 9 33 42 -9 34
15 Valencia 29 7 10 12 32 46 -14 31
16 Espanol 28 7 8 13 27 40 -13 29
17 Alaves 29 6 9 14 32 44 -12 27
18 Leganes 29 6 9 14 28 46 -18 27
19 Las Palmas 29 6 8 15 33 48 -15 26
20 Valladolid 29 4 4 21 19 65 -46 16

Recent Trends

Vallecano ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 1)

Espanol ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.90
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.94
# Clean Sheets: 1

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.58
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Vallecano and Espanyol is heavily tilted in favor of the home side, Vallecano, who boast an 86% probability of victory. Currently positioned 7th in La Liga, Vallecano is expected to secure a win against 16th-placed Espanyol. The match is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, indicating a potentially tight and defensively focused game.

Match Analysis

Vallecano comes into this encounter with a solid recent performance record. They have managed a win against Alaves, a draw with Sociedad, and a narrow loss to Real Madrid, showcasing their ability to compete even with stronger sides. Vallecano’s average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded over their last five games suggests a balanced approach, while their expected goals metrics indicate they create sufficient opportunities. In contrast, Espanyol has struggled in their recent outings. They have secured draws against Ath Madrid and Girona, but suffered a defeat at the hands of Mallorca. With an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded in their last five matches, Espanyol’s recent form has been less than inspiring. Their lower expected goals metrics underline a struggle to convert chances, which could be a deciding factor against a more clinical Vallecano side.

Final Prediction

Vallecano’s edge in this fixture is grounded in their superior recent form and a more efficient attack, as reflected in their advanced metrics. With a higher probability of winning and a home advantage, Vallecano is well-poised to capitalize on Espanyol's vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be Vallecano’s ability to execute their chances efficiently, which could seal the game in their favor.