La Liga 2024-2025: Vallecano vs Getafe Prediction

Vallecano

Home Team
34%
VS

Getafe

Away Team
41%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Ath Bilbao 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Villarreal 33 15 10 8 56 45 11 55
6 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 33 10 9 14 35 42 -7 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Vallecano ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 0)

Getafe ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.61
# Clean Sheets: 1

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.92
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Vallecano and Getafe is expected to tilt slightly in favor of Getafe, with a 41.0% probability of the away team securing a victory. Vallecano, on the other hand, has a 34.0% chance of winning. The probability of the match ending in a draw stands at 25.0%. Both teams are positioned in the mid-table, with Vallecano sitting at 11th place and Getafe closely behind at 12th in La Liga standings. The predicted outcome also suggests a low-scoring affair with the probability of under 2.5 goals being higher at 54.0%.

Match Analysis

Recent performances of both teams have not been particularly impressive. Vallecano has managed only one point from their last three encounters, including a draw against Valencia and losses against Ath Madrid and Ath Bilbao. Their struggle is evident in the advanced metrics as well, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per game and 1.8 goals conceded. Getafe's recent form hasn't been much better, having lost all three of their last matches against Real Madrid, Espanol, and Las Palmas. However, Getafe has shown slightly better attacking statistics, averaging 1.6 goals per match in their last five outings, while conceding only 0.8 on average. Both teams' expected goals (xG) metrics suggest that Getafe has been more efficient in creating scoring opportunities with an average of 1.198 xG compared to Vallecano's 0.972. Defensively, Getafe also appears more robust, allowing an expected 0.918 goals per game, which is more favorable compared to Vallecano's 1.612. Despite both teams having managed only one clean sheet in their recent five games, Getafe's slightly better defensive and offensive metrics could play a pivotal role in this match.

Final Prediction

Getafe's edge in this matchup comes from their superior recent form in terms of goal-scoring and defensive solidity as suggested by their advanced metrics. Vallecano's inability to convert chances consistently and their defensive vulnerabilities make them the underdogs in this contest. A key factor to watch during the game will be Getafe's ability to capitalize on their better xG and defensive prowess, which could be decisive in securing a much-needed victory.