La Liga 2024-2025: Vallecano vs Mallorca Prediction

Vallecano

Home Team
67%
VS

Mallorca

Away Team
16%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 41%
Under 2.5: 59%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 37 27 4 6 99 39 60 85
2 Real Madrid 37 25 6 6 76 38 38 81
3 Ath Madrid 37 21 10 6 64 30 34 73
4 Ath Bilbao 37 19 13 5 54 26 28 70
5 Villarreal 37 19 10 8 67 49 18 67
6 Betis 37 16 11 10 56 49 7 59
7 Celta 37 15 7 15 57 56 1 52
8 Vallecano 37 13 12 12 41 45 -4 51
9 Osasuna 37 12 15 10 47 51 -4 51
10 Mallorca 37 13 8 16 35 44 -9 47
11 Sociedad 37 13 7 17 35 44 -9 46
12 Valencia 37 11 12 14 43 53 -10 45
13 Getafe 37 11 9 17 33 37 -4 42
14 Alaves 37 10 11 16 37 47 -10 41
15 Girona 37 11 8 18 44 56 -12 41
16 Sevilla 37 10 11 16 40 51 -11 41
17 Espanol 37 10 9 18 38 51 -13 39
18 Leganes 37 8 13 16 36 56 -20 37
19 Las Palmas 37 8 8 21 40 59 -19 32
20 Valladolid 37 4 4 29 26 87 -61 16

Recent Trends

Vallecano ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)

Mallorca ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.69
# Clean Sheets: 2

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.00
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Vallecano and Mallorca sees Vallecano as the clear favorite, with a 67.0% probability of securing a home victory. The chances of an away win for Mallorca stand at a modest 16.0%, while a draw is slightly more likely at 17.0%. Both teams are positioned in the mid-table of La Liga, with Vallecano holding the 8th spot and Mallorca sitting in 10th. The match is predicted to have under 2.5 goals, with little expectation for goals from either side, as suggested by a 50.0% probability of no goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Vallecano comes into this fixture with a strong recent run, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three matches. Their victory against Celta and the clean sheet against Las Palmas highlight their defensive capabilities, although they have conceded goals in most games. On the attacking front, Vallecano has been moderately effective, averaging 1.2 goals per game in their last five matches. Their recent performances demonstrate a balance between attack and defense that could be pivotal against Mallorca. Mallorca, on the other hand, has experienced a mixed bag of results, suffering two losses in their last three outings. A defeat against a formidable Real Madrid and another against Getafe at home have dented their momentum. They did manage a narrow victory over Valladolid, but their scoring record remains concerning, averaging just 0.6 goals per match in the last five. Defensively, they concede an average of one goal per game, which could be problematic against a Vallecano side keen on capitalizing on their home advantage.

Final Prediction

Vallecano's recent form and robust home performance provide them with a distinct edge over Mallorca in this encounter. Their ability to score and maintain clean sheets will be crucial, especially given Mallorca's recent struggles in both attack and defense. A key factor to watch during the game will be Vallecano's defensive solidity, which could again play a decisive role in securing a home victory.