La Liga 2024-2025: Villarreal vs Sevilla Prediction

Villarreal

Home Team
74%
VS

Sevilla

Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 37 27 4 6 99 39 60 85
2 Real Madrid 37 25 6 6 76 38 38 81
3 Ath Madrid 37 21 10 6 64 30 34 73
4 Ath Bilbao 37 19 13 5 54 26 28 70
5 Villarreal 37 19 10 8 67 49 18 67
6 Betis 37 16 11 10 56 49 7 59
7 Celta 37 15 7 15 57 56 1 52
8 Vallecano 37 13 12 12 41 45 -4 51
9 Osasuna 37 12 15 10 47 51 -4 51
10 Mallorca 37 13 8 16 35 44 -9 47
11 Sociedad 37 13 7 17 35 44 -9 46
12 Valencia 37 11 12 14 43 53 -10 45
13 Getafe 37 11 9 17 33 37 -4 42
14 Alaves 37 10 11 16 37 47 -10 41
15 Girona 37 11 8 18 44 56 -12 41
16 Sevilla 37 10 11 16 40 51 -11 41
17 Espanol 37 10 9 18 38 51 -13 39
18 Leganes 37 8 13 16 36 56 -20 37
19 Las Palmas 37 8 8 21 40 59 -19 32
20 Valladolid 37 4 4 29 26 87 -61 16

Recent Trends

Villarreal ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Barcelona (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 0)

Sevilla ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Leganes (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Villarreal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.93
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.49
# Clean Sheets: 3

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.89
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Villarreal is predicted to win their upcoming match against Sevilla with a substantial probability of 74.0%. The prediction suggests that the match is likely to result in under 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% probability for over 2.5 goals. Villarreal currently holds 5th place in La Liga, while Sevilla is positioned at 16th, significantly lower in the standings.

Match Analysis

Villarreal enters this fixture on a strong note, having won their last three matches, including an impressive victory against league leaders Barcelona. They've displayed a solid defense, securing three clean sheets in their last five games and conceding an average of only 0.8 goals during this period. Offensively, Villarreal has been consistent, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game, and their expected goals metric suggests they are creating quality chances. In contrast, Sevilla's recent form has been patchy, with two defeats in their last three fixtures. They managed a narrow win against Las Palmas but suffered losses against Real Madrid and Celta. Sevilla has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 0.8 goals per game recently, and their defensive frailties are evident with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per match. Despite this, their expected goals against metric indicates they may have been somewhat unfortunate defensively.

Final Prediction

Villarreal's recent form and strong defensive record give them a clear edge heading into this clash. Their ability to both score consistently and prevent goals has been key to their success. Fans should keep an eye on Villarreal's tactical setup, as their disciplined defense and efficient attack could be crucial in securing the predicted victory.