Ligue 1 2024-2025: Brest vs Lille Prediction

Brest

Home Team
26%
VS

Lille

Away Team
54%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 32 24 6 2 85 33 52 78
2 Marseille 32 18 5 9 67 44 23 59
3 Monaco 32 17 7 8 61 37 24 58
4 Nice 32 16 9 7 60 39 21 57
5 Lille 32 16 9 7 50 33 17 57
6 Strasbourg 32 16 9 7 53 39 14 57
7 Lyon 32 16 6 10 63 44 19 54
8 Lens 32 14 6 12 37 38 -1 48
9 Brest 32 14 5 13 50 53 -3 47
10 Auxerre 32 11 8 13 46 47 -1 41
11 Rennes 32 12 2 18 47 46 1 38
12 Toulouse 32 10 8 14 40 40 0 38
13 Reims 32 8 9 15 32 43 -11 33
14 Angers 32 9 6 17 30 50 -20 33
15 Nantes 32 7 11 14 35 51 -16 32
16 Le Havre 32 9 4 19 36 66 -30 31
17 St Etienne 32 7 6 19 35 74 -39 27
18 Montpellier 32 4 4 24 22 72 -50 16

Recent Trends

Brest ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Montpellier (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs St Etienne (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Monaco (Goals: 2 - 1)

Lille ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Auxerre (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
# Clean Sheets: 1

Lille

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.85
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Brest and Lille sees Lille as the favorites, with a 54.0% probability of clinching victory. Brest, positioned 9th in the league standings, will face a tough challenge against 5th-placed Lille. The predicted likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored is 53.0%, suggesting an exciting encounter with plenty of action.

Match Analysis

Brest's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a solitary win against Montpellier, followed by losses to Marseille and Lens. Despite scoring in each of these matches, their defense has been porous, conceding a total of seven goals. Their average goals scored and conceded per game in the last five matches stand at 1.2 and 0.8, respectively. However, they have shown potential for more, with expected goals scored at 1.636, indicating that they could be more clinical in front of goal. In contrast, Lille has been in solid form, with two wins and a draw in their last three outings. Having recently secured a draw against Marseille and victories over Angers and Auxerre, Lille has displayed attacking prowess, averaging 1.2 goals per game. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game. Their expected goals conceded is even higher at 1.852, suggesting vulnerabilities at the back that Brest might exploit.

Final Prediction

Lille's superior standing and recent form give them the edge over Brest. Their ability to score consistently, coupled with Brest's defensive struggles, might tilt the match in favor of the visitors. Fans should keep an eye on Lille's defensive organization, as any lapses could provide Brest with opportunities to counter and turn the game on its head.