Ligue 1 2024-2025: Monaco vs Lyon Prediction

Monaco

Home Team
69%
VS

Lyon

Away Team
15%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 76%
Under 2.5: 24%
Goal: 60%
No Goal: 40%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 32 24 6 2 85 33 52 78
2 Marseille 32 18 5 9 67 44 23 59
3 Monaco 32 17 7 8 61 37 24 58
4 Nice 32 16 9 7 60 39 21 57
5 Lille 32 16 9 7 50 33 17 57
6 Strasbourg 32 16 9 7 53 39 14 57
7 Lyon 32 16 6 10 63 44 19 54
8 Lens 32 14 6 12 37 38 -1 48
9 Brest 32 14 5 13 50 53 -3 47
10 Auxerre 32 11 8 13 46 47 -1 41
11 Rennes 32 12 2 18 47 46 1 38
12 Toulouse 32 10 8 14 40 40 0 38
13 Reims 32 8 9 15 32 43 -11 33
14 Angers 32 9 6 17 30 50 -20 33
15 Nantes 32 7 11 14 35 51 -16 32
16 Le Havre 32 9 4 19 36 66 -30 31
17 St Etienne 32 7 6 19 35 74 -39 27
18 Montpellier 32 4 4 24 22 72 -50 16

Recent Trends

Monaco ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs St Etienne (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Marseille (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Brest (Goals: 1 - 2)

Lyon ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Rennes (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs St Etienne (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Auxerre (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Monaco

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.78
# Clean Sheets: 2

Lyon

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.48
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Monaco is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Lyon, with a commanding 69% probability of winning. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals is notably high at 76%. Monaco currently holds the 3rd position in Ligue 1 standings, whereas Lyon is positioned 7th, making this an important encounter for both teams in their pursuit of European competition spots.

Match Analysis

In recent matches, Monaco has displayed a solid performance, securing a win against St Etienne and registering two draws against Le Havre and Strasbourg. Notably, Monaco has been efficient at home, showcasing an impressive defensive record with two clean sheets in their last five outings. Their offensive capability is underscored by an average of 3 goals scored per game in the same period, which could present a challenge for Lyon's defense. Conversely, Lyon's recent form has been inconsistent, with a loss to Lens and a surprise defeat to St Etienne sandwiching a convincing home victory against Rennes. Despite these mixed results, Lyon has been potent in attack, averaging 2.4 goals per game over their last five matches. However, their defensive frailties are evident, with 1.6 goals conceded on average, and no clean sheets secured recently, which could be problematic against Monaco's attacking prowess.

Final Prediction

Monaco's strong home form and superior defensive metrics give them a significant edge in this encounter. Their ability to both score and prevent goals will be crucial against a Lyon side that has shown vulnerability at the back. A key factor to watch during the game will be Monaco's offensive execution, particularly how they exploit Lyon's defensive weaknesses, which could be decisive in securing all three points.