Ligue 1 2025-2026: Nantes vs Paris FC Prediction

Nantes

Home Team
40%
VS

Paris FC

Away Team
34%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 17 13 1 3 31 13 18 40
2 Paris SG 17 12 3 2 37 15 22 39
3 Marseille 17 10 2 5 36 17 19 32
4 Lille 17 10 2 5 33 22 11 32
5 Lyon 17 9 3 5 25 17 8 30
6 Rennes 17 8 6 3 29 24 5 30
7 Strasbourg 17 7 3 7 26 21 5 24
8 Toulouse 17 6 5 6 24 22 2 23
9 Monaco 17 7 2 8 27 30 -3 23
10 Angers 17 6 4 7 18 20 -2 22
11 Brest 17 6 4 7 23 27 -4 22
12 Lorient 17 4 7 6 20 29 -9 19
13 Le Havre 17 4 6 7 15 23 -8 18
14 Nice 17 5 3 9 20 30 -10 18
15 Paris FC 17 4 4 9 22 31 -9 16
16 Nantes 17 3 5 9 16 28 -12 14
17 Auxerre 17 3 3 11 14 27 -13 12
18 Metz 17 3 3 11 18 38 -20 12

Recent Trends

Nantes ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Angers (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 1)

Paris FC ❌ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Toulouse (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Nantes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.37
# Clean Sheets: 1

Paris FC

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.09
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Nantes and Paris FC sees Nantes slightly favored with a 40% probability of emerging victorious, compared to Paris FC's 34% chance. The match is predicted to stay under 2.5 goals, with a 45% probability supporting this outcome. Currently, Nantes sits at the 16th position in Ligue 1, while Paris FC is just above them at 15th place, making this a crucial battle near the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Nantes comes into this match with mixed results from their last three outings. They secured a notable 2-0 away victory against Marseille, showcasing their potential to surprise higher-ranked teams. However, their form has been inconsistent, suffering defeats to Angers and Lens, conceding multiple goals in those matches. Their average concessions of 2.4 goals per game in recent fixtures highlight defensive vulnerabilities that need addressing. Paris FC's recent performances tell a tale of struggle, having not won in their last three matches. They pushed Paris SG but ultimately fell short with a 2-1 loss and were convincingly defeated 3-0 by Toulouse. A goalless draw against Le Havre indicates some improvement defensively, but their average concession rate of 1.6 goals per game still points to potential defensive frailties. Both teams have managed only one clean sheet in their last five games, suggesting that defensive solidity could be a decisive factor in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Nantes holds a slight edge with their recent ability to claim a significant win against Marseille, suggesting they can capitalize on home advantage. Their capacity to score against stronger teams might give them the confidence needed against a Paris FC side struggling for form. A key factor to watch in this encounter will be each team's defensive organization, as both sides have shown susceptibility to conceding goals, which could ultimately tilt the balance in favor of the more resilient defense.