Ligue 1 2024-2025: Reims vs St Etienne Prediction

Reims

Home Team
69%
VS

St Etienne

Away Team
14%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 61%
Under 2.5: 39%
Goal: 58%
No Goal: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 32 24 6 2 85 33 52 78
2 Marseille 32 18 5 9 67 44 23 59
3 Monaco 32 17 7 8 61 37 24 58
4 Nice 32 16 9 7 60 39 21 57
5 Lille 32 16 9 7 50 33 17 57
6 Strasbourg 32 16 9 7 53 39 14 57
7 Lyon 32 16 6 10 63 44 19 54
8 Lens 32 14 6 12 37 38 -1 48
9 Brest 32 14 5 13 50 53 -3 47
10 Auxerre 32 11 8 13 46 47 -1 41
11 Rennes 32 12 2 18 47 46 1 38
12 Toulouse 32 10 8 14 40 40 0 38
13 Reims 32 8 9 15 32 43 -11 33
14 Angers 32 9 6 17 30 50 -20 33
15 Nantes 32 7 11 14 35 51 -16 32
16 Le Havre 32 9 4 19 36 66 -30 31
17 St Etienne 32 7 6 19 35 74 -39 27
18 Montpellier 32 4 4 24 22 72 -50 16

Recent Trends

Reims ❌ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Nice (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Montpellier (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Lens (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 1)

St Etienne ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lyon (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Brest (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Reims

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.90
# Clean Sheets: 3

St Etienne

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.95
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Reims and St Etienne is predicted to favor the home side, with a significant 69.0% probability of a Reims victory. The game is also expected to feature over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.0%, suggesting an action-packed encounter. In the current Ligue 1 standings, Reims sit in 13th place, while St Etienne struggles at 17th, hovering dangerously close to relegation.

Match Analysis

Reims have shown a mixed bag of results in their recent performances. They secured a vital home victory against Toulouse, but their away form has been less convincing, with a narrow loss to Nice and a goalless draw against Montpellier. With a decent record of three clean sheets in their last five matches, Reims have demonstrated defensive resilience, despite averaging only 0.8 goals per match. Their expected goals statistics suggest they have the potential to find the net more frequently than their recent form suggests. St Etienne, on the other hand, has been grappling with defensive frailties, conceding an average of 2.0 goals in their last five games. Their recent form includes a morale-boosting win against Lyon, but losses to Monaco and Strasbourg highlight ongoing inconsistencies. Despite scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game, their expected goals point to a slightly higher attacking potential. However, their porous defense, with no clean sheets in the last five encounters, remains a significant concern as they fight to escape the relegation zone.

Final Prediction

Reims are favorites in this matchup, largely due to their defensive solidity and home advantage. St Etienne's defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited, especially with Reims' potential to score more than their recent tally suggests. Keep an eye on Reims' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities against a St Etienne side desperate to secure points and avoid relegation.