Ligue 1 2024-2025: Rennes vs Nice Prediction

Rennes

Home Team
41%
VS

Nice

Away Team
35%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 57%
No Goal: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 32 24 6 2 85 33 52 78
2 Marseille 32 18 5 9 67 44 23 59
3 Monaco 32 17 7 8 61 37 24 58
4 Nice 32 16 9 7 60 39 21 57
5 Lille 32 16 9 7 50 33 17 57
6 Strasbourg 32 16 9 7 53 39 14 57
7 Lyon 32 16 6 10 63 44 19 54
8 Lens 32 14 6 12 37 38 -1 48
9 Brest 32 14 5 13 50 53 -3 47
10 Auxerre 32 11 8 13 46 47 -1 41
11 Rennes 32 12 2 18 47 46 1 38
12 Toulouse 32 10 8 14 40 40 0 38
13 Reims 32 8 9 15 32 43 -11 33
14 Angers 32 9 6 17 30 50 -20 33
15 Nantes 32 7 11 14 35 51 -16 32
16 Le Havre 32 9 4 19 36 66 -30 31
17 St Etienne 32 7 6 19 35 74 -39 27
18 Montpellier 32 4 4 24 22 72 -50 16

Recent Trends

Rennes ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Le Havre (Goals: 5 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Auxerre (Goals: 0 - 1)

Nice ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Reims (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Paris SG (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Rennes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.84
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.68
# Clean Sheets: 0

Nice

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.88
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In an intriguing Ligue 1 encounter, Rennes is predicted to edge out a victory against Nice, with a 41.0% probability of a home win. The likelihood of an away win stands at 35.0%, and a draw is pegged at 25.0%. Given the current standings, Nice is in a more favorable position at 4th place with 57 points, while Rennes is languishing in 11th place with 38 points. Additionally, there's a strong chance of over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 52.0%.

Match Analysis

Rennes enters this clash with mixed results in their recent performances. They managed a crucial home victory against Nantes, but their overall form has been inconsistent, suffering defeats to Toulouse and Lyon on the road. Key metrics reveal Rennes has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals in their last five games, while scoring just 0.8 goals per match. Their expected goals (1.836) suggest they might have been slightly unlucky recently. In contrast, Nice is on an impressive run, having won their last three games. Their victories against Reims, Angers, and notably Paris SG, highlight their attacking prowess, averaging 2.4 goals scored per game. However, defensively, they remain somewhat vulnerable, conceding 1.4 goals on average. Their expected goals scored (1.54) and conceded (1.882) indicate they have been efficient in front of goal but could face challenges at the back.

Final Prediction

Rennes's home advantage and potential for a rebound performance give them a slight edge in this matchup. Their need to solidify a mid-table position is crucial, especially against a high-flying Nice side. A key factor to watch will be Rennes's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as they aim to convert their expected goals into actual goals against a defensively suspect Nice team.