Premier League 2024-2025: Bournemouth vs Leicester Prediction

Bournemouth

Home Team
85%
VS

Leicester

Away Team
6%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 37 25 8 4 85 40 45 83
2 Arsenal 37 19 14 4 67 33 34 71
3 Man City 37 20 8 9 70 44 26 68
4 Newcastle 37 20 6 11 68 46 22 66
5 Chelsea 37 19 9 9 63 43 20 66
6 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 58 49 9 66
7 Nott'm Forest 37 19 8 10 58 45 13 65
8 Brighton 37 15 13 9 62 58 4 58
9 Brentford 37 16 7 14 65 56 9 55
10 Fulham 37 15 9 13 54 52 2 54
11 Bournemouth 37 14 11 12 56 46 10 53
12 Crystal Palace 37 13 13 11 50 50 0 52
13 Everton 37 10 15 12 41 44 -3 45
14 Wolves 37 12 5 20 53 68 -15 41
15 West Ham 37 10 10 17 43 61 -18 40
16 Man United 37 10 9 18 42 54 -12 39
17 Tottenham 37 11 5 21 63 61 2 38
18 Leicester 37 6 7 24 33 78 -45 25
19 Ipswich 37 4 10 23 35 79 -44 22
20 Southampton 37 2 6 29 25 84 -59 12

Recent Trends

Bournemouth ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Arsenal (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 0)

Leicester ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bournemouth

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.42
# Clean Sheets: 1

Leicester

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.89
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.38
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Bournemouth is heavily favored to win their upcoming clash against Leicester, with a significant probability of 85.0% for a home victory. The likelihood of the game having over 2.5 goals is 56.0%, suggesting an exciting encounter. Currently, Bournemouth sits in 11th place in the Premier League standings, while Leicester is struggling in 18th place and battling relegation.

Match Analysis

In recent fixtures, Bournemouth has experienced a mixed bag of results, with a notable away victory against Arsenal (2-1) but suffering defeats to Man City (1-3) and Aston Villa (0-1). Despite these losses, their performances have shown resilience, especially in tight matches against strong opponents. Bournemouth's advanced metrics highlight an average of 1.504 expected goals per game in their last five outings, indicating a potential for offensive prowess. Leicester, on the other hand, has shown signs of improvement with a win against Ipswich (2-0) and a stalemate away at Nott'm Forest (2-2). However, their defensive vulnerabilities remain apparent, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game across their last five matches. Leicester's ability to maintain clean sheets in two recent games could be a positive sign, but their high number of expected goals conceded (2.378) suggests ongoing defensive challenges.

Final Prediction

Bournemouth's edge in this matchup is supported by their favorable home advantage and better league position. Leicester's defensive frailties could be a critical factor, as Bournemouth's attack looks to capitalize on any weaknesses. A key aspect to watch will be Bournemouth's ability to convert expected goals into actual goals, which could determine the game's outcome.