Premier League 2024-2025: Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction

Brighton

Home Team
57%
VS

Bournemouth

Away Team
21%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 69%
Under 2.5: 31%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 27 19 7 1 64 26 38 64
2 Arsenal 26 15 8 3 51 23 28 53
3 Nott'm Forest 26 14 5 7 44 33 11 47
4 Man City 26 13 5 8 52 37 15 44
5 Newcastle 26 13 5 8 46 36 10 44
6 Bournemouth 26 12 7 7 44 30 14 43
7 Chelsea 26 12 7 7 48 36 12 43
8 Aston Villa 27 11 9 7 39 41 -2 42
9 Brighton 26 10 10 6 42 38 4 40
10 Fulham 26 10 9 7 38 35 3 39
11 Brentford 26 11 4 11 47 42 5 37
12 Tottenham 26 10 3 13 53 38 15 33
13 Crystal Palace 26 8 9 9 31 32 -1 33
14 Everton 26 7 10 9 29 33 -4 31
15 Man United 26 8 6 12 30 37 -7 30
16 West Ham 26 8 6 12 30 47 -17 30
17 Wolves 26 6 4 16 36 54 -18 22
18 Ipswich 26 3 8 15 24 54 -30 17
19 Leicester 26 4 5 17 25 59 -34 17
20 Southampton 26 2 3 21 19 61 -42 9

Recent Trends

Brighton ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Chelsea (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 0 - 7)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Man United (Goals: 3 - 1)

Bournemouth ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Newcastle (Goals: 4 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brighton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.43
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.46
# Clean Sheets: 2

Bournemouth

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.90
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.52
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Brighton is predicted to emerge victorious against Bournemouth, with a 57.0% probability of winning. The match is anticipated to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 69.0% likelihood of such an occurrence. Currently, Brighton sits 9th in the Premier League standings, showcasing a steady campaign, while Bournemouth is slightly ahead in 6th place, reflecting their robust performance this season.

Match Analysis

Brighton has experienced a mixed bag of results in their recent outings. They secured impressive wins against Southampton (4-0) and Chelsea (3-0), demonstrating their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. However, the heavy 0-7 defeat to Nott'm Forest was a stark reminder of their vulnerabilities. Brighton's average goals scored and conceded in the last five games stand at 1.0, with two clean sheets, suggesting a balanced team performance. On the other hand, Bournemouth's recent form has been somewhat inconsistent. A narrow loss to Wolves (0-1) and a defeat against Liverpool (0-2) were offset by a solid 3-1 triumph over Southampton. Bournemouth boasts a higher average of 2.8 goals scored and has managed one clean sheet over their last five matches. This indicates a potent attacking line, although their defense has been slightly leaky, conceding an average of 1.2 goals.

Final Prediction

Brighton holds the edge in this encounter due to their recent victories and the home advantage. Their ability to secure clean sheets and perform strongly against top-tier opponents will be crucial. A key factor to watch in this match will be Brighton's defense against Bournemouth's high-scoring attacking play. If Brighton can maintain their defensive solidity while capitalizing on scoring opportunities, they are likely to secure the win.