Premier League 2024-2025: Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction

Chelsea

Home Team
29%
VS

Liverpool

Away Team
51%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 64%
Under 2.5: 36%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 34 25 7 2 80 32 48 82
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Newcastle 34 19 5 10 65 44 21 62
4 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
5 Chelsea 34 17 9 8 59 40 19 60
6 Nott'm Forest 33 18 6 9 53 39 14 60
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Fulham 34 14 9 11 50 46 4 51
9 Brighton 34 13 12 9 56 55 1 51
10 Bournemouth 34 13 11 10 53 41 12 50
11 Brentford 33 13 7 13 56 50 6 46
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Wolves 34 12 5 17 51 61 -10 41
14 Man United 34 10 9 15 39 47 -8 39
15 Everton 34 8 14 12 34 41 -7 38
16 Tottenham 34 11 4 19 62 56 6 37
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 39 58 -19 36
18 Ipswich 34 4 9 21 33 74 -41 21
19 Leicester 34 4 6 24 27 76 -49 18
20 Southampton 34 2 5 27 25 80 -55 11

Recent Trends

Chelsea ✅ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ipswich (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 0)

Liverpool ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 5 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Chelsea

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.98
# Clean Sheets: 3

Liverpool

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.89
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Chelsea and Liverpool is predicted to be a thrilling encounter with Liverpool favored to win at a 51.0% probability. The likelihood of Chelsea securing a victory stands at 29.0%, while a draw is the least likely outcome at 20.0%. With Liverpool at the top of the Premier League standings, and Chelsea in fifth position, the stakes are high as both teams strive for Champions League qualification. Additionally, there is a 64.0% probability of the match ending with over 2.5 goals, suggesting an exciting and high-scoring game.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Chelsea has shown resilience, with two wins and a draw. They secured victories against Everton (1-0) and Fulham (2-1), and managed a draw against Ipswich (2-2). Chelsea's defensive solidity is evident as they have maintained three clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding an average of just 0.4 goals per game. Their offensive capabilities are backed by an average of 1.8 goals scored per match, closely aligned with their expected goals of 1.946. Liverpool, on the other hand, has been in formidable form, winning their last three games against Tottenham (5-1), Leicester (1-0), and West Ham (2-1). The Reds have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.8 goals per game and maintaining two clean sheets in their last five outings. With an expected goals average of 1.942, Liverpool's attack is potent, although they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game, which could be a vulnerability Chelsea might exploit.

Final Prediction

Liverpool's superior league position and recent winning streak give them the edge in this matchup. Their attacking prowess, coupled with their ability to score multiple goals, positions them as the favorites. However, Chelsea's strong defense and recent clean sheets could make them a formidable opponent. Key to watch will be how Liverpool's attack fares against Chelsea's solid defense, which could ultimately decide the outcome of this exciting fixture.