Premier League 2024-2025: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Prediction

Crystal Palace

Home Team
51%
VS

Aston Villa

Away Team
25%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 27 19 7 1 64 26 38 64
2 Arsenal 26 15 8 3 51 23 28 53
3 Nott'm Forest 26 14 5 7 44 33 11 47
4 Man City 26 13 5 8 52 37 15 44
5 Newcastle 26 13 5 8 46 36 10 44
6 Bournemouth 26 12 7 7 44 30 14 43
7 Chelsea 26 12 7 7 48 36 12 43
8 Aston Villa 27 11 9 7 39 41 -2 42
9 Brighton 26 10 10 6 42 38 4 40
10 Fulham 26 10 9 7 38 35 3 39
11 Brentford 26 11 4 11 47 42 5 37
12 Tottenham 26 10 3 13 53 38 15 33
13 Crystal Palace 26 8 9 9 31 32 -1 33
14 Everton 26 7 10 9 29 33 -4 31
15 Man United 26 8 6 12 30 37 -7 30
16 West Ham 26 8 6 12 30 47 -17 30
17 Wolves 26 6 4 16 36 54 -18 22
18 Ipswich 26 3 8 15 24 54 -30 17
19 Leicester 26 4 5 17 25 59 -34 17
20 Southampton 26 2 3 21 19 61 -42 9

Recent Trends

Crystal Palace ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 0)

Aston Villa ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ipswich (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.90
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.75
# Clean Sheets: 3

Aston Villa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.00
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa is predicted to favor the home team, Crystal Palace, with a probability of winning at 51.0%. The match is also anticipated to have over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 58.0%. Currently, Crystal Palace sits in 13th position on the Premier League table, while Aston Villa holds the 8th spot.

Match Analysis

Crystal Palace has shown a resilient performance in their recent matches, securing two wins in their last three outings against Fulham and Manchester United, both with clean sheets. However, they did suffer a home defeat to Everton. The team has averaged 1.2 goals per game in their last five matches, but notably, they have been more efficient defensively with three clean sheets during this period. Their expected goals metrics suggest they have been underperforming slightly in attack, but their defense has been relatively solid. On the other hand, Aston Villa has experienced a mixed bag of results with a victory against Chelsea, followed by two draws against Liverpool and Ipswich. Offensively, they have struggled to find the net consistently, averaging just 0.8 goals per game over the last five matches. Defensively, Villa has been vulnerable, conceding 1.8 goals per game, and they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their recent outings. Their expected goals statistics indicate a similar trend of underperformance in both creating and defending chances.

Final Prediction

Crystal Palace appears to have the edge in this matchup due to their recent defensive solidity and ability to secure crucial wins against competitive teams. Aston Villa's inability to maintain clean sheets and their lower scoring rate could be decisive in this encounter. A key factor to watch will be Crystal Palace's ability to capitalize on their defensive strengths and convert their expected goals into actual goals.