Premier League 2024-2025: Everton vs Ipswich Prediction

Everton

Home Team
83%
VS

Ipswich

Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 34 25 7 2 80 32 48 82
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Newcastle 34 19 5 10 65 44 21 62
4 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
5 Chelsea 34 17 9 8 59 40 19 60
6 Nott'm Forest 33 18 6 9 53 39 14 60
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Fulham 34 14 9 11 50 46 4 51
9 Brighton 34 13 12 9 56 55 1 51
10 Bournemouth 34 13 11 10 53 41 12 50
11 Brentford 33 13 7 13 56 50 6 46
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Wolves 34 12 5 17 51 61 -10 41
14 Man United 34 10 9 15 39 47 -8 39
15 Everton 34 8 14 12 34 41 -7 38
16 Tottenham 34 11 4 19 62 56 6 37
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 39 58 -19 36
18 Ipswich 34 4 9 21 33 74 -41 21
19 Leicester 34 4 6 24 27 76 -49 18
20 Southampton 34 2 5 27 25 80 -55 11

Recent Trends

Everton ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 1)

Ipswich ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.08
# Clean Sheets: 1

Ipswich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.71
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Everton and Ipswich, Everton is strongly favored to secure a victory with an 83.0% probability, while Ipswich has a slim 7.0% chance of winning. A draw is also unlikely, at 9.0%. The predicted outcome leans towards a home win for Everton, and the expectation is for a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals being the likely result. As the standings show, Everton is currently in 15th place, while Ipswich is struggling in 18th, making this a crucial match for both teams.

Match Analysis

Everton's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a significant victory against high-flying Nott'm Forest away from home, but losses to Chelsea and Man City. Their ability to keep a clean sheet against Forest might be a positive sign, reflecting their solid defensive performance. However, Everton's attack has been somewhat lackluster, averaging just 1.2 goals per game in their last five matches, but their expected goals suggest they are capable of more. Ipswich, on the other hand, has had a tough run, unable to secure a win in their last three games. A heavy defeat to Arsenal and a loss against Newcastle highlight their defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game over their last five encounters. Their draw against Chelsea, however, showed resilience and an ability to score, as they managed to net twice against a strong opposition.

Final Prediction

Everton's edge in this matchup comes from their higher league standing and the recent ability to eke out a clean sheet victory, suggesting they can capitalize on Ipswich's defensive frailties. A key factor to watch will be Everton's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, which could be pivotal against an Ipswich side struggling to keep opponents at bay.