Premier League 2024-2025: Everton vs Ipswich Prediction

Everton

Home Team
83%
VS

Ipswich

Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 34 25 7 2 80 32 48 82
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Newcastle 34 19 5 10 65 44 21 62
4 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
5 Chelsea 34 17 9 8 59 40 19 60
6 Nott'm Forest 34 18 6 10 53 41 12 60
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Fulham 34 14 9 11 50 46 4 51
9 Brighton 34 13 12 9 56 55 1 51
10 Bournemouth 34 13 11 10 53 41 12 50
11 Brentford 34 14 7 13 58 50 8 49
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Wolves 34 12 5 17 51 61 -10 41
14 Man United 34 10 9 15 39 47 -8 39
15 Everton 34 8 14 12 34 41 -7 38
16 Tottenham 34 11 4 19 62 56 6 37
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 39 58 -19 36
18 Ipswich 34 4 9 21 33 74 -41 21
19 Leicester 34 4 6 24 27 76 -49 18
20 Southampton 34 2 5 27 25 80 -55 11

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.08
# Clean Sheets: 1

Ipswich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.71
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

With an overwhelming 83% probability, Everton is predicted to triumph over Ipswich in their upcoming clash. The game is expected to result in less than 2.5 goals, with a 49% chance for that outcome. Currently, Everton sits in 15th place, while Ipswich struggles at 18th, fighting against relegation.

Match Analysis

Everton enters this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They suffered defeats against Chelsea and Manchester City but clinched a crucial victory over Nottingham Forest, showcasing their potential to bounce back. Despite scoring an average of 1.2 goals in the last five matches, their defense remains a concern, conceding 1.6 goals on average. However, their ability to keep a clean sheet against Nottingham Forest might signal a strengthening backline. On the other hand, Ipswich's recent form paints a grim picture. They endured heavy losses to Newcastle and Arsenal but managed to draw with Chelsea, scoring twice to demonstrate some offensive capability. Ipswich's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2 goals per game over the last five matches, with no clean sheets to their name. Their expected goals conceded figure of 2.714 suggests that defensive frailties could be a decisive factor in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Everton holds a significant edge due to their higher league position and recent win against a top-half team. Their ability to limit goals against Nottingham Forest hints at defensive improvements that could play a pivotal role against Ipswich's struggling attack. A key factor to watch will be Everton's ability to capitalize on Ipswich's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially securing a vital victory to solidify their position away from the relegation zone.