Premier League 2024-2025: Fulham vs Man City Prediction

Fulham

Home Team
17%
VS

Man City

Away Team
67%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 60%
Under 2.5: 40%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 37 25 8 4 85 40 45 83
2 Arsenal 37 19 14 4 67 33 34 71
3 Man City 37 20 8 9 70 44 26 68
4 Newcastle 37 20 6 11 68 46 22 66
5 Chelsea 37 19 9 9 63 43 20 66
6 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 58 49 9 66
7 Nott'm Forest 37 19 8 10 58 45 13 65
8 Brighton 37 15 13 9 62 58 4 58
9 Brentford 37 16 7 14 65 56 9 55
10 Fulham 37 15 9 13 54 52 2 54
11 Bournemouth 37 14 11 12 56 46 10 53
12 Crystal Palace 37 13 13 11 50 50 0 52
13 Everton 37 10 15 12 41 44 -3 45
14 Wolves 37 12 5 20 53 68 -15 41
15 West Ham 37 10 10 17 43 61 -18 40
16 Man United 37 10 9 18 42 54 -12 39
17 Tottenham 37 11 5 21 63 61 2 38
18 Leicester 37 6 7 24 33 78 -45 25
19 Ipswich 37 4 10 23 35 79 -44 22
20 Southampton 37 2 6 29 25 84 -59 12

Recent Trends

Fulham ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Brentford (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 2)

Man City ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Southampton (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fulham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.90
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.27
# Clean Sheets: 0

Man City

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.79
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Fulham and Manchester City is shaping up to be an intriguing encounter. With a 67.0% probability, Manchester City is favored to secure a victory, reflecting their superior standing in the league as they sit third, compared to Fulham's tenth position. The match is also anticipated to be high-scoring, with a 60.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Fulham's recent performances have been a mixed bag, capturing a win against Brentford but suffering defeats to Everton and Aston Villa. Their defense has been particularly porous, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game over the last five matches and failing to keep a clean sheet. In terms of expected goals, Fulham has struggled to generate substantial attacking opportunities, averaging just 0.904 expected goals in their recent games. On the other hand, Manchester City enters the match with a more resilient form. They have secured victories against Bournemouth and Wolves, alongside a stalemate with Southampton. City's defense has been notably robust, allowing just 0.2 goals per game on average over their last five matches and achieving three clean sheets, highlighting their defensive solidity. Furthermore, their expected goals metric of 1.452 suggests they are creating more quality chances compared to their opponents.

Final Prediction

Manchester City's edge in this matchup is underscored by their defensive strength and higher expected goals, positioning them as the favorites. A key factor to watch will be how Fulham's defense manages to cope with City's attacking prowess, which could ultimately determine the outcome of the game.