Premier League 2024-2025: Man United vs Aston Villa Prediction

Man United

Home Team
35%
VS

Aston Villa

Away Team
41%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 37 25 8 4 85 40 45 83
2 Arsenal 37 19 14 4 67 33 34 71
3 Man City 37 20 8 9 70 44 26 68
4 Newcastle 37 20 6 11 68 46 22 66
5 Chelsea 37 19 9 9 63 43 20 66
6 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 58 49 9 66
7 Nott'm Forest 37 19 8 10 58 45 13 65
8 Brighton 37 15 13 9 62 58 4 58
9 Brentford 37 16 7 14 65 56 9 55
10 Fulham 37 15 9 13 54 52 2 54
11 Bournemouth 37 14 11 12 56 46 10 53
12 Crystal Palace 37 13 13 11 50 50 0 52
13 Everton 37 10 15 12 41 44 -3 45
14 Wolves 37 12 5 20 53 68 -15 41
15 West Ham 37 10 10 17 43 61 -18 40
16 Man United 37 10 9 18 42 54 -12 39
17 Tottenham 37 11 5 21 63 61 2 38
18 Leicester 37 6 7 24 33 78 -45 25
19 Ipswich 37 4 10 23 35 79 -44 22
20 Southampton 37 2 6 29 25 84 -59 12

Recent Trends

Man United ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs West Ham (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 3 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 1)

Aston Villa ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Newcastle (Goals: 4 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Man United

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.18
# Clean Sheets: 0

Aston Villa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.80
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Aston Villa is predicted to edge out Manchester United with a 41.0% probability of winning, compared to United's 35.0% chance. The match is expected to be high-scoring, with a 54.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Aston Villa is in 6th place, battling for European competition spots, while Manchester United is languishing in 16th, perilously close to the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

The recent form of both teams paints a contrasting picture. Aston Villa comes into this match with a strong run, winning their last three games without conceding a goal. They defeated Tottenham, Bournemouth, and Fulham, showcasing a robust defense and efficient attacking play. Villa's average goals scored over the last five matches stand at 1.8, while they have conceded a mere 0.4 goals per game, underlining their defensive solidity and attacking prowess. Conversely, Manchester United is struggling, having lost their last three games against Chelsea, West Ham, and Brentford. They managed to score only three goals while conceding seven in these encounters. Advanced metrics indicate that United has been underperforming, with an average of just 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per game over their last five matches. Their inability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities (1.478 expected goals) has been glaring.

Final Prediction

Aston Villa's current form and defensive resilience give them a significant edge in this matchup. Their ability to keep clean sheets and capitalize on scoring chances (1.698 expected goals) could prove decisive. Fans should watch out for Villa's defensive organization and ability to strike on the counter, which could spell trouble for a beleaguered Manchester United side desperate to end their losing streak.