Premier League 2024-2025: Man United vs West Ham Prediction

Man United

Home Team
66%
VS

West Ham

Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 35 25 7 3 81 35 46 82
2 Arsenal 35 18 13 4 64 31 33 67
3 Man City 35 19 7 9 67 43 24 64
4 Newcastle 35 19 6 10 66 45 21 63
5 Chelsea 35 18 9 8 62 41 21 63
6 Nott'm Forest 35 18 7 10 54 42 12 61
7 Aston Villa 35 17 9 9 55 49 6 60
8 Bournemouth 35 14 11 10 55 42 13 53
9 Brentford 35 15 7 13 62 53 9 52
10 Brighton 35 13 13 9 57 56 1 52
11 Fulham 35 14 9 12 50 47 3 51
12 Crystal Palace 35 11 13 11 44 48 -4 46
13 Wolves 35 12 5 18 51 62 -11 41
14 Everton 35 8 15 12 36 43 -7 39
15 Man United 35 10 9 16 42 51 -9 39
16 Tottenham 35 11 5 19 63 57 6 38
17 West Ham 35 9 10 16 40 59 -19 37
18 Ipswich 35 4 10 21 35 76 -41 22
19 Leicester 35 5 6 24 29 76 -47 21
20 Southampton 35 2 5 28 25 82 -57 11

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Man United

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.32
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.24
# Clean Sheets: 1

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.28
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Manchester United and West Ham is heavily tipped in favor of the home side. With a 66.0% probability of winning, Manchester United are the clear favorites to secure a victory. The game is also expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 54.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Manchester United find themselves in 15th position, while West Ham sit just below them in 17th place, making this fixture crucial for both teams.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Manchester United have shown a lack of form, with a loss to Brentford and a draw against Bournemouth in their last two away fixtures followed by a home defeat to Wolves. Their recent struggles are highlighted by their average of just 0.8 goals per game over the past five matches, which is slightly underpinned by their expected goals of 1.318. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, showing vulnerability at the back. West Ham, on the other hand, have also been struggling to find consistency. Their recent form includes draws against Tottenham and Southampton, with a narrow loss to Brighton. They have averaged 1.0 goals per game, with a defense that has conceded 1.4 goals on average in the last five matches. Their expected goals scored and conceded metrics (1.198 and 1.276, respectively) suggest they have the potential to challenge, but they have yet to translate this into consistent results.

Final Prediction

Manchester United's edge in this fixture largely comes from their statistical advantage and home ground benefit. Despite their recent form, the probability metrics strongly favor them to win. A key factor to watch will be their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, given their slightly higher expected goals metric compared to West Ham. Fans should keep an eye on whether Manchester United can convert potential into performance and climb out of their current position in the league.