Premier League 2024-2025: Newcastle vs Everton Prediction

Newcastle

Home Team
77%
VS

Everton

Away Team
10%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 67%
Under 2.5: 33%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 37 25 8 4 85 40 45 83
2 Arsenal 37 19 14 4 67 33 34 71
3 Man City 37 20 8 9 70 44 26 68
4 Newcastle 37 20 6 11 68 46 22 66
5 Chelsea 37 19 9 9 63 43 20 66
6 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 58 49 9 66
7 Nott'm Forest 37 19 8 10 58 45 13 65
8 Brighton 37 15 13 9 62 58 4 58
9 Brentford 37 16 7 14 65 56 9 55
10 Fulham 37 15 9 13 54 52 2 54
11 Bournemouth 37 14 11 12 56 46 10 53
12 Crystal Palace 37 13 13 11 50 50 0 52
13 Everton 37 10 15 12 41 44 -3 45
14 Wolves 37 12 5 20 53 68 -15 41
15 West Ham 37 10 10 17 43 61 -18 40
16 Man United 37 10 9 18 42 54 -12 39
17 Tottenham 37 11 5 21 63 61 2 38
18 Leicester 37 6 7 24 33 78 -45 25
19 Ipswich 37 4 10 23 35 79 -44 22
20 Southampton 37 2 6 29 25 84 -59 12

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Newcastle

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.10
# Clean Sheets: 2

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.90
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Newcastle United is heavily favored to win their upcoming clash against Everton, with a 77.0% probability of a home victory. The match is also expected to exceed 2.5 goals, with a 67.0% likelihood of that outcome. Currently, Newcastle holds the 4th position in the Premier League, while Everton sits at 13th.

Match Analysis

Newcastle has experienced a mixed bag of results in their recent fixtures, showcasing resilience and ability. They secured a solid win against Chelsea at home and managed a draw against Brighton away, but fell short in their match against Arsenal. In terms of advanced metrics, Newcastle has been prolific in front of goal recently, averaging 3.2 goals per game while maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.4 goals on average over the last five matches. Everton, on the other hand, has displayed a steady form with a win against both Southampton and Fulham, and a draw with Ipswich. Their goal-scoring ability has been modest, averaging 1.0 goal per game, but defensively they have been reasonably tight, conceding only 0.8 goals on average in their last five games. Everton's expected goals metrics suggest that they have been slightly underperforming in attack but are fairly stable in defense.

Final Prediction

The predicted edge for Newcastle stems from their impressive goal-scoring ability and strong defensive performances in recent matches. A key factor to watch will be Newcastle's attacking prowess against Everton's sturdy defense. If Newcastle maintains their offensive momentum, they are likely to capitalize and secure the win.