Premier League 2024-2025: Nott'm Forest vs Chelsea Prediction

Nott'm Forest

Home Team
30%
VS

Chelsea

Away Team
48%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 37 25 8 4 85 40 45 83
2 Arsenal 37 19 14 4 67 33 34 71
3 Man City 37 20 8 9 70 44 26 68
4 Newcastle 37 20 6 11 68 46 22 66
5 Chelsea 37 19 9 9 63 43 20 66
6 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 58 49 9 66
7 Nott'm Forest 37 19 8 10 58 45 13 65
8 Brighton 37 15 13 9 62 58 4 58
9 Brentford 37 16 7 14 65 56 9 55
10 Fulham 37 15 9 13 54 52 2 54
11 Bournemouth 37 14 11 12 56 46 10 53
12 Crystal Palace 37 13 13 11 50 50 0 52
13 Everton 37 10 15 12 41 44 -3 45
14 Wolves 37 12 5 20 53 68 -15 41
15 West Ham 37 10 10 17 43 61 -18 40
16 Man United 37 10 9 18 42 54 -12 39
17 Tottenham 37 11 5 21 63 61 2 38
18 Leicester 37 6 7 24 33 78 -45 25
19 Ipswich 37 4 10 23 35 79 -44 22
20 Southampton 37 2 6 29 25 84 -59 12

Recent Trends

Nott'm Forest ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)

Chelsea ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Nott'm Forest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.32
# Clean Sheets: 0

Chelsea

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.35
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Chelsea is predicted to come out on top with a 48.0% probability of winning against Nott'm Forest, who holds a 30.0% chance of victory. The game is likely to witness over 2.5 goals, with a 53.0% probability supporting this prediction. Chelsea stands in 5th place in the Premier League, while Nott'm Forest is closely trailing in 7th position.

Match Analysis

Over the past three matches, Nott'm Forest has shown resilience, securing a win against West Ham and drawing against both Leicester and Crystal Palace. Despite the lack of clean sheets, their ability to find the net consistently with an average of 0.8 goals per game, coupled with their performance in expected goals, highlights their potential to challenge Chelsea. Chelsea, on the other hand, has seen a mixed bag of results. Victories over Manchester United and Liverpool at home showcase their capability to perform against top teams, though their away defeat to Newcastle reflects some inconsistency. Chelsea's defense has kept two clean sheets in their last five games, indicating a slightly stronger defensive setup compared to Forest. Their expected goals metrics suggest a balanced attack that could capitalize on Forest's vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Chelsea's slightly superior recent form and defensive stability provide them an edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Chelsea's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, especially given Forest's struggle to maintain clean sheets. This dynamic could very well dictate the flow and outcome of the game, making it an intriguing contest for football fans.