Premier League 2024-2025: Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction

Southampton

Home Team
1%
VS

Arsenal

Away Team
97%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 68%
Under 2.5: 32%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 37 25 8 4 85 40 45 83
2 Arsenal 37 19 14 4 67 33 34 71
3 Man City 37 20 8 9 70 44 26 68
4 Newcastle 37 20 6 11 68 46 22 66
5 Chelsea 37 19 9 9 63 43 20 66
6 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 58 49 9 66
7 Nott'm Forest 37 19 8 10 58 45 13 65
8 Brighton 37 15 13 9 62 58 4 58
9 Brentford 37 16 7 14 65 56 9 55
10 Fulham 37 15 9 13 54 52 2 54
11 Bournemouth 37 14 11 12 56 46 10 53
12 Crystal Palace 37 13 13 11 50 50 0 52
13 Everton 37 10 15 12 41 44 -3 45
14 Wolves 37 12 5 20 53 68 -15 41
15 West Ham 37 10 10 17 43 61 -18 40
16 Man United 37 10 9 18 42 54 -12 39
17 Tottenham 37 11 5 21 63 61 2 38
18 Leicester 37 6 7 24 33 78 -45 25
19 Ipswich 37 4 10 23 35 79 -44 22
20 Southampton 37 2 6 29 25 84 -59 12

Recent Trends

Southampton ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Leicester (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)

Arsenal ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 4 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Southampton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.61
# Clean Sheets: 1

Arsenal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.20
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Premier League clash between Southampton and Arsenal is heavily tilted in favor of the visiting team, with a 97.0% probability of Arsenal securing a victory. The game is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 68.0% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Arsenal is sitting comfortably in 2nd place with 71 points, while Southampton finds themselves at the bottom of the league in 20th place with just 12 points.

Match Analysis

Southampton's recent performances have been challenging, with the team struggling to find the back of the net. In their last three matches, they have failed to score against Everton and Leicester and managed a goalless draw at home against Manchester City. This poor run of form is reflected in their average of 0.6 goals scored per game over the last five matches, alongside 1.6 goals conceded. Their defensive frailties and lack of offensive firepower have been evident, with only one clean sheet in their last five outings. Arsenal, on the other hand, has shown resilience and quality in their recent games. They secured a crucial victory against Newcastle, held Liverpool to a draw in an intense match, but experienced a rare slip-up against Bournemouth. The Gunners have averaged 1.6 goals per game while conceding just 0.8, highlighting their balanced approach. Their expected goals metrics also suggest a higher potential for scoring, averaging 1.91 expected goals per game, which could spell trouble for the Saints' defense.

Final Prediction

Arsenal's superior form and attacking prowess give them a significant edge over Southampton. Their ability to score and maintain defensive solidity, coupled with the Saints' recent struggles, makes them the clear favorites. A key factor to watch will be Arsenal's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair as predicted.