Premier League 2024-2025: Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Prediction - 11 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Tottenham

Home Team
62%
VS

Crystal Palace

Away Team
19%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 35 25 7 3 81 35 46 82
2 Arsenal 35 18 13 4 64 31 33 67
3 Man City 35 19 7 9 67 43 24 64
4 Newcastle 35 19 6 10 66 45 21 63
5 Chelsea 35 18 9 8 62 41 21 63
6 Nott'm Forest 35 18 7 10 54 42 12 61
7 Aston Villa 35 17 9 9 55 49 6 60
8 Bournemouth 35 14 11 10 55 42 13 53
9 Brentford 35 15 7 13 62 53 9 52
10 Brighton 35 13 13 9 57 56 1 52
11 Fulham 35 14 9 12 50 47 3 51
12 Crystal Palace 35 11 13 11 44 48 -4 46
13 Wolves 35 12 5 18 51 62 -11 41
14 Everton 35 8 15 12 36 43 -7 39
15 Man United 35 10 9 16 42 51 -9 39
16 Tottenham 35 11 5 19 63 57 6 38
17 West Ham 35 9 10 16 40 59 -19 37
18 Ipswich 35 4 10 21 35 76 -41 22
19 Leicester 35 5 6 24 29 76 -47 21
20 Southampton 35 2 5 28 25 82 -57 11

Recent Trends

Tottenham D L L L W

  • Last Match: D vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 1)

Crystal Palace D D D L L

  • Last Match: D vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Arsenal (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 5)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Tottenham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.93
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.48
# Clean Sheets: 0

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.95
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming matchup between Tottenham and Crystal Palace has Tottenham as the predicted winner with a 62.0% probability. The game is also expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 53.0% chance of this occurring. Currently, Tottenham sits in 16th position, while Crystal Palace is slightly better off in 12th place in the Premier League standings.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, Tottenham has struggled, failing to secure a win. They managed a draw against West Ham but suffered a heavy defeat to Liverpool and a close loss to Nottingham Forest. This recent form highlights a defensive vulnerability, having conceded eight goals across these matches. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience with three consecutive draws against capable opponents like Arsenal and Bournemouth. Despite this, Palace has not been able to capitalize on opportunities as much as they'd like. Advanced metrics reveal that both teams have an average of 1.4 goals scored per game in recent fixtures. However, Tottenham's expected goals count is slightly higher at 1.93, suggesting they might be underperforming in terms of converting chances. Crystal Palace has conceded more goals on average (2.6) compared to Tottenham's 1.2, indicating potential defensive frailties that could be exploited.

Final Prediction

Tottenham is favored to win due to a superior expected goals metric and Crystal Palace's defensive lapses. The key factor to watch will be how effectively Tottenham can convert their chances, given their higher expected goals rate. This match promises to be an exciting encounter, with both teams eager to improve their standing and end the season on a high note.

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