Premier League 2024-2025: Wolves vs Brentford Prediction

Wolves

Home Team
36%
VS

Brentford

Away Team
39%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 60%
No Goal: 40%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 37 25 8 4 85 40 45 83
2 Arsenal 37 19 14 4 67 33 34 71
3 Man City 37 20 8 9 70 44 26 68
4 Newcastle 37 20 6 11 68 46 22 66
5 Chelsea 37 19 9 9 63 43 20 66
6 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 58 49 9 66
7 Nott'm Forest 37 19 8 10 58 45 13 65
8 Brighton 37 15 13 9 62 58 4 58
9 Brentford 37 16 7 14 65 56 9 55
10 Fulham 37 15 9 13 54 52 2 54
11 Bournemouth 37 14 11 12 56 46 10 53
12 Crystal Palace 37 13 13 11 50 50 0 52
13 Everton 37 10 15 12 41 44 -3 45
14 Wolves 37 12 5 20 53 68 -15 41
15 West Ham 37 10 10 17 43 61 -18 40
16 Man United 37 10 9 18 42 54 -12 39
17 Tottenham 37 11 5 21 63 61 2 38
18 Leicester 37 6 7 24 33 78 -45 25
19 Ipswich 37 4 10 23 35 79 -44 22
20 Southampton 37 2 6 29 25 84 -59 12

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.44
# Clean Sheets: 2

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.31
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Premier League clash between Wolves and Brentford is expected to be a closely contested encounter. According to the predictions, Brentford holds a slight edge with a 39.0% probability of securing a victory, while Wolves have a 36.0% chance of winning. The game has a predicted outcome of over 2.5 goals with a 54.0% probability, suggesting a potentially high-scoring affair. Wolves currently sit in 14th place, while Brentford are positioned 9th in the league standings.

Match Analysis

Wolves have been struggling in their recent outings, suffering three consecutive losses. They fell to Crystal Palace 4-2, lost to Brighton 2-0 at home, and were narrowly defeated by Manchester City 1-0. Despite these setbacks, Wolves have been averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last five fixtures, indicating potential in attack, although they have been conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game. Their expected goals metrics, with 1.49 scored and 1.44 conceded, reflect a team that is creating chances but needs to tighten their defense. Brentford, on the other hand, have shown a mixed bag of results recently. They managed a 4-3 victory over Manchester United and a 1-0 win against Ipswich but lost 3-2 to Fulham at home. Brentford’s average goals scored and conceded over the last five matches stand at 1.4 and 0.8, respectively, showcasing a balanced approach. Their expected goals statistics, with 1.31 scored and 1.29 conceded, suggest that they are effective in converting chances while maintaining defensive solidity.

Final Prediction

Brentford’s recent form and their higher league standing give them a slight edge in this fixture. Their ability to score crucial goals and maintain a tighter defense compared to Wolves could prove decisive. Fans should keep an eye on Brentford’s attacking tactics, which may exploit Wolves' recent defensive vulnerabilities, potentially leading to an exciting and high-scoring match.