Serie A 2024-2025: Atalanta vs Parma Prediction

Atalanta

Home Team
94%
VS

Parma

Away Team
3%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 49%
No Goal: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 37 23 10 4 57 27 30 79
2 Inter 37 23 9 5 77 35 42 78
3 Atalanta 37 22 8 7 76 34 42 74
4 Juventus 37 17 16 4 55 33 22 67
5 Roma 37 19 9 9 54 35 19 66
6 Lazio 37 18 11 8 61 48 13 65
7 Fiorentina 37 18 8 11 57 39 18 62
8 Bologna 37 16 14 7 56 44 12 62
9 Milan 37 17 9 11 59 43 16 60
10 Como 37 13 10 14 49 50 -1 49
11 Torino 37 10 14 13 39 43 -4 44
12 Udinese 37 12 8 17 39 53 -14 44
13 Genoa 37 9 13 15 34 48 -14 40
14 Cagliari 37 9 9 19 40 54 -14 36
15 Verona 37 9 7 21 32 65 -33 34
16 Parma 37 6 15 16 41 56 -15 33
17 Lecce 37 7 10 20 26 58 -32 31
18 Empoli 37 6 13 18 32 57 -25 31
19 Venezia 37 5 14 18 30 53 -23 29
20 Monza 37 3 9 25 28 67 -39 18

Recent Trends

Atalanta ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Roma (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 0)

Parma ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Atalanta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.07
# Clean Sheets: 2

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.03
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Atalanta and Parma is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, Atalanta, with a remarkable 94% probability of victory. Parma's chances of an upset are quite slim at just 3%, and the likelihood of a draw stands at 4%. Given the current Serie A standings, Atalanta sits comfortably in third place, while Parma struggles near the bottom in sixteenth. The game is also predicted to feature fewer than 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Atalanta enters this fixture on a high, having won their last three matches. Notably, they secured a commanding 4-0 victory against Monza and managed to edge past strong contenders such as Roma and Genoa. Their recent form suggests a solid defensive setup, with two clean sheets in their last five games. In terms of advanced metrics, Atalanta's average expected goals scored of 1.644 per match indicates a potent attack that can create opportunities, aligning with their recent offensive displays. On the contrary, Parma has struggled recently, with a goalless draw against Napoli as their only respite in their last three outings. Losses to Empoli and Como highlight their struggles in finding the net, underscored by their average of just 0.8 goals scored per game over the past five matches. Despite maintaining two clean sheets in this period, Parma's expected goals scored of 0.646 reflects their difficulties in converting chances.

Final Prediction

Atalanta's recent dominance, combined with Parma's offensive inefficiencies, gives the home side a significant edge in this contest. The key factor to watch will be Atalanta's ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess against a Parma side that has struggled against higher-caliber opponents. Football fans should keep an eye on whether Atalanta can maintain their defensive solidity while unleashing their attacking capabilities.