Serie A 2024-2025: Bologna vs Genoa Prediction

Bologna

Home Team
84%
VS

Genoa

Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 37 23 10 4 57 27 30 79
2 Inter 37 23 9 5 77 35 42 78
3 Atalanta 37 22 8 7 76 34 42 74
4 Juventus 37 17 16 4 55 33 22 67
5 Roma 37 19 9 9 54 35 19 66
6 Lazio 37 18 11 8 61 48 13 65
7 Fiorentina 37 18 8 11 57 39 18 62
8 Bologna 37 16 14 7 56 44 12 62
9 Milan 37 17 9 11 59 43 16 60
10 Como 37 13 10 14 49 50 -1 49
11 Torino 37 10 14 13 39 43 -4 44
12 Udinese 37 12 8 17 39 53 -14 44
13 Genoa 37 9 13 15 34 48 -14 40
14 Cagliari 37 9 9 19 40 54 -14 36
15 Verona 37 9 7 21 32 65 -33 34
16 Parma 37 6 15 16 41 56 -15 33
17 Lecce 37 7 10 20 26 58 -32 31
18 Empoli 37 6 13 18 32 57 -25 31
19 Venezia 37 5 14 18 30 53 -23 29
20 Monza 37 3 9 25 28 67 -39 18

Recent Trends

Bologna ❌ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)

Genoa ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.72
# Clean Sheets: 2

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.49
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Bologna and Genoa is heavily tilted in favor of Bologna with an 84.0% probability of securing a home victory. Genoa holds a slim 7.0% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 9.0%. With Bologna currently in 8th place in the Serie A standings and Genoa trailing behind in 13th place, the home team seems poised to capitalize on their superior positioning. The game is also expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% probability for such an outcome, indicating a potentially tight match.

Match Analysis

Bologna's recent performances have been a mix of results, with a loss to Fiorentina and Milan, but a commendable draw against Juventus at home. Their attacking form has been decent, averaging 2.0 goals scored over the last five games, while defensively, they have been quite solid, conceding only 0.6 goals on average. Their ability to maintain clean sheets in two of their last five matches further highlights their defensive resilience. On the other hand, Genoa has struggled lately, managing only one draw and suffering two losses in their last three fixtures. Their offensive struggles are evident, with a mere 0.6 goals scored on average over the past five games. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per match. The lack of clean sheets in recent games underscores their defensive challenges. Advanced metrics show Bologna outperforming Genoa in both expected goals scored and conceded, suggesting a significant edge for the home team.

Final Prediction

Bologna's edge is underscored by their superior goal-scoring ability and defensive solidity compared to Genoa's vulnerabilities. The key factor to watch during the game will be Bologna's ability to capitalize on their defensive strength and Genoa's struggle to find the back of the net. This match could very well see Bologna consolidating their position in the top half of the Serie A table.