Serie A 2024-2025: Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction

Cagliari

Home Team
29%
VS

Fiorentina

Away Team
49%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 32 21 8 3 72 31 41 71
2 Napoli 32 20 8 4 51 25 26 68
3 Atalanta 32 18 7 7 65 30 35 61
4 Juventus 32 15 14 3 49 30 19 59
5 Bologna 32 15 12 5 51 37 14 57
6 Lazio 32 16 8 8 53 43 10 56
7 Roma 32 15 9 8 47 32 15 54
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 49 32 17 53
9 Milan 32 14 9 9 51 37 14 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 36 37 -1 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 36 46 -10 40
12 Genoa 32 9 12 11 29 38 -9 39
13 Como 32 9 9 14 40 48 -8 36
14 Verona 32 9 5 18 30 59 -29 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 32 47 -15 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 37 51 -14 28
17 Lecce 32 6 8 18 23 52 -29 26
18 Venezia 32 4 12 16 25 44 -19 24
19 Empoli 32 4 12 16 24 50 -26 24
20 Monza 32 2 9 21 25 56 -31 15

Recent Trends

Cagliari ❌ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Empoli (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)

Fiorentina ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Juventus (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.54
# Clean Sheets: 2

Fiorentina

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.89
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Cagliari and Fiorentina is predicted to favor the away team, Fiorentina, with a 49.0% probability of winning. Cagliari, positioned 15th in Serie A, holds a 29.0% chance of securing a victory on home turf. The match is expected to see fewer than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 43.0% for over 2.5 goals. Fiorentina sits 8th in the standings, indicating a stronger season compared to their opponents.

Match Analysis

Cagliari comes into this match with a mixed bag of results from their last three games. They suffered a defeat against top-of-the-table Inter but managed a goalless draw against Empoli and convincingly won 3-0 against Monza. Their average goal-scoring rate over the last five matches stands at 1.4, while they have managed two clean sheets during this period. However, their expected goals conceded figure of 1.536 suggests a vulnerability in their defense that Fiorentina might exploit. On the other hand, Fiorentina's recent performances indicate a team finding its stride. They managed to hold Milan to a 2-2 draw away and secured a 1-0 victory against the high-flying Atalanta at home. With an average of 1.2 goals scored in their last five games, they have demonstrated a conservative yet effective approach. Fiorentina's three clean sheets in the same duration reflect their defensive stability, although their expected goals conceded rate of 1.892 indicates potential defensive lapses.

Final Prediction

Fiorentina appears to have the upper hand in this encounter, thanks to their higher standing and recent form. Their defensive solidity, highlighted by multiple clean sheets, could be pivotal against a Cagliari side that struggles to consistently score. A key factor to watch will be how Fiorentina's defense handles Cagliari's attack, as any slip-up could change the game's dynamics.