Serie A 2024-2025: Como vs Inter Prediction

Como

Home Team
24%
VS

Inter

Away Team
59%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 37 23 10 4 57 27 30 79
2 Inter 37 23 9 5 77 35 42 78
3 Atalanta 37 22 8 7 76 34 42 74
4 Juventus 37 17 16 4 55 33 22 67
5 Roma 37 19 9 9 54 35 19 66
6 Lazio 37 18 11 8 61 48 13 65
7 Fiorentina 37 18 8 11 57 39 18 62
8 Bologna 37 16 14 7 56 44 12 62
9 Milan 37 17 9 11 59 43 16 60
10 Como 37 13 10 14 49 50 -1 49
11 Torino 37 10 14 13 39 43 -4 44
12 Udinese 37 12 8 17 39 53 -14 44
13 Genoa 37 9 13 15 34 48 -14 40
14 Cagliari 37 9 9 19 40 54 -14 36
15 Verona 37 9 7 21 32 65 -33 34
16 Parma 37 6 15 16 41 56 -15 33
17 Lecce 37 7 10 20 26 58 -32 31
18 Empoli 37 6 13 18 32 57 -25 31
19 Venezia 37 5 14 18 30 53 -23 29
20 Monza 37 3 9 25 28 67 -39 18

Recent Trends

Como ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 3 - 0)

Inter ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.38
# Clean Sheets: 3

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.39
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Inter is predicted to win with a 59.0% probability, reflecting their strong position as the second-placed team in Serie A. Meanwhile, Como, sitting at 10th place, has a 24.0% chance of securing a victory. The game is expected to be high-scoring with a 54.0% probability of over 2.5 goals, aligning with the prediction of "goal" with a 55.0% probability.

Match Analysis

Como's recent form has been relatively solid, coming off two wins and a draw in their last three matches. They secured a 3-1 home win against Cagliari and a 1-0 away victory over Parma, with a 1-1 draw away at Verona. Their defensive stability is noteworthy, having kept three clean sheets in the last five games, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals. Offensively, Como has averaged 1.4 goals per game, supported by an expected goals (xG) average of 1.634. Inter, on the other hand, has also been impressive, registering two wins and a draw in their last trio of encounters. They managed a 2-0 away victory at Torino and a narrow 1-0 win against Verona, with a 2-2 draw at home to Lazio. Inter's defensive solidity is highlighted by two clean sheets in their last five matches, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded. Offensively, they match Como with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game, with an expected goals average of 1.612.

Final Prediction

Inter's edge over Como can be attributed to their superior league position and a slight advantage in defensive metrics. With both teams displaying similar scoring averages, Inter's experience and consistency could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be Inter's ability to maintain their defensive discipline against Como's resilient attack. This clash promises to be an exciting encounter with potential for multiple goals.