Serie A 2024-2025: Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction

Genoa

Home Team
2%
VS

Atalanta

Away Team
95%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 36 23 9 4 57 27 30 78
2 Inter 36 23 8 5 75 33 42 77
3 Atalanta 36 21 8 7 73 32 41 71
4 Juventus 36 16 16 4 53 33 20 64
5 Lazio 36 18 10 8 59 46 13 64
6 Roma 36 18 9 9 51 34 17 63
7 Bologna 36 16 14 6 54 41 13 62
8 Milan 36 17 9 10 58 40 18 60
9 Fiorentina 36 17 8 11 54 37 17 59
10 Como 36 13 9 14 48 49 -1 48
11 Torino 36 10 14 12 39 42 -3 44
12 Udinese 36 12 8 16 39 51 -12 44
13 Genoa 36 9 13 14 32 45 -13 40
14 Cagliari 36 8 9 19 37 54 -17 33
15 Verona 36 9 6 21 31 64 -33 33
16 Parma 36 6 14 16 41 56 -15 32
17 Venezia 36 5 14 17 30 50 -20 29
18 Lecce 36 6 10 20 25 58 -33 28
19 Empoli 36 5 13 18 29 56 -27 28
20 Monza 36 3 9 24 27 64 -37 18

Recent Trends

Genoa ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)

Atalanta ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Roma (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.19
# Clean Sheets: 1

Atalanta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.00
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Genoa and Atalanta is heavily tipped in favor of the visitors, with Atalanta boasting an overwhelming 95.0% probability of securing a victory. This is compared to a mere 2.0% chance for Genoa. The prediction also leans towards a match with fewer than 2.5 goals. In the league standings, Atalanta is in a strong position at third place, while Genoa is struggling in the 13th spot.

Match Analysis

Genoa's recent form has been less than stellar, with their last three games yielding a draw against league leaders Napoli and losses to Milan and Como. Despite a commendable draw against Napoli, their overall performance has been inconsistent, with an average of just 1.0 goal scored per match in their last five outings. Defensively, they've allowed an average of 1.2 goals per game, which reflects their current struggles in maintaining clean sheets. Conversely, Atalanta comes into this match on a high, fresh off a victory over Roma and an emphatic win against Monza, scoring four goals without reply. Their recent form is bolstered by an impressive average of 2.8 goals per match in their last five games while keeping three clean sheets. Atalanta's offensive prowess, highlighted by an expected goals rate of 2.5, indicates their ability to create and convert chances, making them a formidable opponent for any team.

Final Prediction

The stark contrast in recent form and league positions gives Atalanta a clear edge in this encounter. Their consistent goal-scoring ability coupled with a solid defensive record suggests they are well-equipped to handle Genoa's challenge. A key factor to watch will be Atalanta's attacking dynamism, which could prove decisive in securing a crucial three points as they aim to solidify their position in the top four.