Serie A 2024-2025: Genoa vs Lazio Prediction

Genoa

Home Team
24%
VS

Lazio

Away Team
59%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 40%
Under 2.5: 60%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 32 21 8 3 72 31 41 71
2 Napoli 32 20 8 4 51 25 26 68
3 Atalanta 32 18 7 7 65 30 35 61
4 Juventus 32 15 14 3 49 30 19 59
5 Bologna 32 15 12 5 51 37 14 57
6 Lazio 32 16 8 8 53 43 10 56
7 Roma 32 15 9 8 47 32 15 54
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 49 32 17 53
9 Milan 32 14 9 9 51 37 14 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 36 37 -1 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 36 46 -10 40
12 Genoa 32 9 12 11 29 38 -9 39
13 Como 32 9 9 14 40 48 -8 36
14 Verona 32 9 5 18 30 59 -29 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 32 47 -15 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 37 51 -14 28
17 Lecce 32 6 8 18 23 52 -29 26
18 Venezia 32 4 12 16 25 44 -19 24
19 Empoli 32 4 12 16 24 50 -26 24
20 Monza 32 2 9 21 25 56 -31 15

Recent Trends

Genoa ⚪ ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 1)

Lazio ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.79
# Clean Sheets: 2

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.60
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

With a 59.0% probability, Lazio is the favored team to win against Genoa in their upcoming Serie A clash. The likelihood of a Genoa victory stands at 24.0%, while the draw is the least likely outcome at 17.0%. The prediction also suggests a match with under 2.5 goals, supported by a 40.0% probability. Currently, Lazio holds the 6th position in the league, while Genoa is positioned 12th.

Match Analysis

Genoa's recent form shows mixed results with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three matches. Their defensive solidity is evident as they managed to keep clean sheets in two of these games, notably against Verona and Udinese. Despite a narrow loss to Juventus, Genoa's ability to restrict opponents is underscored by their recent defensive metrics, conceding an average of just 0.4 goals per game in the last five outings. Conversely, Lazio's recent performances include a victory over Atalanta and draws against Roma and Torino. Although they have shown resilience, their defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game recently. However, Lazio's attacking prowess cannot be underestimated, averaging 1.0 goals per game, and with Ciro Immobile at the helm, they remain a potent threat going forward. Their recent form suggests a competitive edge over Genoa, particularly given their higher league standing and recent performances against stronger opposition.

Final Prediction

Lazio's edge in the upcoming match against Genoa lies in their overall stronger league position and recent competitive performances. While Genoa's defense has been robust, Lazio's offensive capabilities, coupled with their higher league aspirations, position them as favorites. A crucial factor to watch will be Lazio's ability to break down Genoa's defense, which could determine the match's outcome.