Serie A 2024-2025: Inter vs Roma Prediction

Inter

Home Team
80%
VS

Roma

Away Team
9%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 15 60
5 Juventus 32 15 14 3 49 30 19 59
6 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 16 57
7 Lazio 32 16 8 8 53 43 10 56
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 49 32 17 53
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 38 13 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 36 37 -1 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 36 46 -10 40
12 Genoa 32 9 12 11 29 38 -9 39
13 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 32 47 -15 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 37 51 -14 28
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15

Recent Trends

Inter ❌ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Atalanta (Goals: 2 - 0)

Roma ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.11
# Clean Sheets: 1

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.78
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Inter Milan is strongly favored to secure a victory against Roma, with an 80.0% probability of a home win. The game is also predicted to have more than 2.5 goals, with a 52.0% chance of such an outcome. Inter currently sits atop the Serie A standings, sharing points with Napoli, while Roma is in 6th place, striving for a top-four finish.

Match Analysis

Inter enters this fixture following a mixed bag of recent performances: a narrow away loss to Bologna, a convincing home win against Cagliari, and a draw with Parma. Despite these varied results, Inter's attacking prowess remains evident, averaging 2.2 goals in their last five games. However, their defensive solidity has been less consistent, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game, with only one clean sheet in their recent matches. Roma, on the other hand, has shown resilience in their last three outings, securing a win against Verona and draws against Lazio and Juventus. Their defensive efforts have been particularly commendable, as demonstrated by their three clean sheets in the last five games. With an average of just 0.2 goals conceded per match, Roma's defense could pose a challenge for Inter's attack. However, Roma's offensive output has been modest, averaging only 1.0 goal per game despite having an expected goals figure of 1.736.

Final Prediction

Inter's superior attacking capabilities, combined with their position at the top of the standings, provide them with a considerable edge over Roma. A key factor to watch in this match will be Inter's ability to break down Roma's sturdy defense, which has been a cornerstone of their recent performances. Fans should expect an engaging battle, with both teams aiming to capitalize on their strengths for a crucial result.