Serie A 2024-2025: Lazio vs Lecce Prediction

Lazio

Home Team
88%
VS

Lecce

Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 49%
No Goal: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 37 23 10 4 57 27 30 79
2 Inter 37 23 9 5 77 35 42 78
3 Atalanta 37 22 8 7 76 34 42 74
4 Juventus 37 17 16 4 55 33 22 67
5 Roma 37 19 9 9 54 35 19 66
6 Lazio 37 18 11 8 61 48 13 65
7 Fiorentina 37 18 8 11 57 39 18 62
8 Bologna 37 16 14 7 56 44 12 62
9 Milan 37 17 9 11 59 43 16 60
10 Como 37 13 10 14 49 50 -1 49
11 Torino 37 10 14 13 39 43 -4 44
12 Udinese 37 12 8 17 39 53 -14 44
13 Genoa 37 9 13 15 34 48 -14 40
14 Cagliari 37 9 9 19 40 54 -14 36
15 Verona 37 9 7 21 32 65 -33 34
16 Parma 37 6 15 16 41 56 -15 33
17 Lecce 37 7 10 20 26 58 -32 31
18 Empoli 37 6 13 18 32 57 -25 31
19 Venezia 37 5 14 18 30 53 -23 29
20 Monza 37 3 9 25 28 67 -39 18

Recent Trends

Lazio ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Inter (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 0)

Lecce ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.87
# Clean Sheets: 2

Lecce

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.48
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Lazio and Lecce sees Lazio as the heavy favorite with an 88.0% chance of winning. This match is predicted to conclude with fewer than 2.5 goals, aligning with the probability of over 2.5 goals standing at 46.0%. Lazio currently sits in 6th place in Serie A, while Lecce is battling near the relegation zone at 17th.

Match Analysis

Lazio enters this match after two consecutive draws against formidable opponents, Inter and Juventus, with their most recent victory coming on the road against Empoli. Their ability to hold their ground against higher-ranked teams showcases resilience and a defensive solidity that has resulted in two clean sheets in their last five matches. Advanced metrics highlight Lazio's offensive capabilities with a higher expected goals (xG) average of 1.632, suggesting they have the potential to find the back of the net more frequently than recent results indicate. On the other hand, Lecce's recent performances show a mixed bag of results, including a victory over Torino, a draw with Verona, and a narrow loss to league leaders Napoli. Lecce's challenges lie in their lower goals tally and higher goals conceded, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game in their last five. Their expected goals conceded (xGA) is 1.48, which indicates defensive vulnerabilities that Lazio might exploit.

Final Prediction

Lazio's superior league position and consistent form against top-tier teams give them the upper hand in this encounter. Additionally, their ability to maintain clean sheets could prove pivotal against a Lecce side that has struggled to score consistently. A key factor to watch will be whether Lazio can convert their higher expected goals into tangible results, reinforcing their strong position in the league standings.