Serie A 2026-2027: Lecce vs Napoli Prediction
Lecce
Home Team
4%
VS
Napoli
Away Team
91%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Roma | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Milan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Como | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Udinese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Lazio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Torino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Lecce | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 19 | Pisa | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 | Genoa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Lecce
- Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 2)
Napoli
- Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 3 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lecce
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.68
# Clean Sheets:
2
Napoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.14
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Lecce and Napoli is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors. Napoli, sitting atop the league standings, has a commanding 91% probability of securing a victory. On the other hand, Lecce, positioned at 16th, faces an uphill battle with just a 4% chance of winning. The match is expected to be lively, with a 54% probability of exceeding 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Lecce's recent form shows a mixed bag of results. They managed a crucial away win against Parma, keeping a clean sheet in a 1-0 victory. However, their defensive frailties were exposed in a 3-2 loss to Udinese. A goalless draw at home against Sassuolo reflects their struggles to score. Lecce's average of 0.75 goals scored per game over the last five outings indicates their attacking woes, while their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.5 goals.
Napoli, on the other hand, has demonstrated their championship credentials, notably with a 3-1 triumph over Inter. Although they stumbled in a narrow 1-0 loss to Torino, they bounced back with a 2-1 win against Genoa. With an average of 1.5 goals per game, Napoli's attack is potent, supported by an expected goals figure of 2.265, suggesting they create numerous scoring opportunities. Defensively, they have room for improvement, having not kept a clean sheet in their last five matches.
Final Prediction
Napoli's superior form and attacking prowess give them a decisive edge in this encounter. Their ability to create and convert chances, as indicated by their expected goals statistics, will be critical against Lecce's vulnerable defense. Fans should watch out for Napoli's attacking players, who are likely to capitalize on Lecce's defensive lapses, potentially delivering a high-scoring affair.