Serie A 2024-2025: Milan vs Monza Prediction

Milan

Home Team
93%
VS

Monza

Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 37 23 10 4 57 27 30 79
2 Inter 37 23 9 5 77 35 42 78
3 Atalanta 37 22 8 7 76 34 42 74
4 Juventus 37 17 16 4 55 33 22 67
5 Roma 37 19 9 9 54 35 19 66
6 Lazio 37 18 11 8 61 48 13 65
7 Fiorentina 37 18 8 11 57 39 18 62
8 Bologna 37 16 14 7 56 44 12 62
9 Milan 37 17 9 11 59 43 16 60
10 Como 37 13 10 14 49 50 -1 49
11 Torino 37 10 14 13 39 43 -4 44
12 Udinese 37 12 8 17 39 53 -14 44
13 Genoa 37 9 13 15 34 48 -14 40
14 Cagliari 37 9 9 19 40 54 -14 36
15 Verona 37 9 7 21 32 65 -33 34
16 Parma 37 6 15 16 41 56 -15 33
17 Lecce 37 7 10 20 26 58 -32 31
18 Empoli 37 6 13 18 32 57 -25 31
19 Venezia 37 5 14 18 30 53 -23 29
20 Monza 37 3 9 25 28 67 -39 18

Recent Trends

Milan ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 1)

Monza ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Milan

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.88
# Clean Sheets: 1

Monza

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.85
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Milan and Monza is heavily tilted in favor of Milan, with a 93.0% probability of the home team securing a victory. The likelihood of the match having over 2.5 goals is also significant at 57.0%. Milan currently sits in 9th place in the league standings, while Monza is struggling at the bottom in 20th position.

Match Analysis

Milan comes into this game with a mixed bag of recent results. They suffered a 3-1 defeat away to Roma but bounced back with solid wins against Bologna and Genoa, scoring a total of five goals in those victories. Their recent performances suggest a team capable of finding the back of the net, supported by their average of 1.6 goals scored over the last five matches. Defensively, Milan has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game, highlighting some vulnerabilities at the back. Monza, on the other hand, has found life in Serie A challenging. They have won just one of their last three matches—a commendable away victory against Udinese. However, heavy losses to Empoli and Atalanta, where they conceded a total of seven goals, have exposed their defensive frailties. Monza's average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per match in their recent outings paints a picture of a team struggling at both ends of the pitch.

Final Prediction

Milan's superior offensive capabilities and recent winning form give them a clear edge over Monza in this fixture. A key factor to watch during the game will be Milan's ability to capitalize on Monza's defensive weaknesses, which could lead to a high-scoring affair. With Milan's strong probability of winning and Monza's position at the foot of the standings, the Rossoneri are well-positioned to take advantage of this favorable matchup.