Serie A 2024-2025: Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction

Napoli

Home Team
92%
VS

Cagliari

Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 41%
Under 2.5: 59%
Goal: 43%
No Goal: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 37 23 10 4 57 27 30 79
2 Inter 37 23 9 5 77 35 42 78
3 Atalanta 37 22 8 7 76 34 42 74
4 Juventus 37 17 16 4 55 33 22 67
5 Roma 37 19 9 9 54 35 19 66
6 Lazio 37 18 11 8 61 48 13 65
7 Fiorentina 37 18 8 11 57 39 18 62
8 Bologna 37 16 14 7 56 44 12 62
9 Milan 37 17 9 11 59 43 16 60
10 Como 37 13 10 14 49 50 -1 49
11 Torino 37 10 14 13 39 43 -4 44
12 Udinese 37 12 8 17 39 53 -14 44
13 Genoa 37 9 13 15 34 48 -14 40
14 Cagliari 37 9 9 19 40 54 -14 36
15 Verona 37 9 7 21 32 65 -33 34
16 Parma 37 6 15 16 41 56 -15 33
17 Lecce 37 7 10 20 26 58 -32 31
18 Empoli 37 6 13 18 32 57 -25 31
19 Venezia 37 5 14 18 30 53 -23 29
20 Monza 37 3 9 25 28 67 -39 18

Recent Trends

Napoli ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 0)

Cagliari ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Napoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.20
# Clean Sheets: 4

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.18
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Napoli and Cagliari heavily favors the home side, with a staggering 92% probability of Napoli clinching the victory. The predicted result leans towards a Napoli win with less than 2.5 goals in the match. Currently, Napoli sits at the top of the Serie A standings, while Cagliari struggles in the 14th position, facing the threat of relegation.

Match Analysis

Over the last three games, Napoli's form has been steady, with a draw against Parma and Genoa, and a narrow victory over Lecce. Despite their recent draws, Napoli has shown defensive resilience, with four clean sheets in their last five games. Their attack has been consistent, averaging 2.2 goals scored per game, supported by an expected goals figure of 1.922, suggesting that Napoli creates ample scoring opportunities. Cagliari, on the other hand, has had a mixed set of results. They secured an impressive 3-0 win against Venezia but faltered in subsequent matches, losing to Como and Udinese. Cagliari's attacking output has been modest, averaging 0.8 goals per game, with a slightly higher expected goals figure of 1.052, indicating some potential for improvement. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.4 goals, which poses a challenge against a potent Napoli attack.

Final Prediction

Napoli is likely to have the upper hand due to their superior league position and solid defensive performances. With their recent form and a higher probability of winning, Napoli's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities will be pivotal. A key factor to watch during the game will be Napoli's ability to maintain their defensive solidity while exploiting Cagliari's vulnerabilities at the back.