Serie A 2024-2025: Parma vs Juventus Prediction

Parma

Home Team
10%
VS

Juventus

Away Team
80%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 39%
Under 2.5: 61%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 32 21 8 3 72 31 41 71
2 Napoli 32 20 8 4 51 25 26 68
3 Atalanta 32 18 7 7 65 30 35 61
4 Juventus 32 15 14 3 49 30 19 59
5 Bologna 32 15 12 5 51 37 14 57
6 Lazio 32 16 8 8 53 43 10 56
7 Roma 32 15 9 8 47 32 15 54
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 49 32 17 53
9 Milan 32 14 9 9 51 37 14 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 36 37 -1 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 36 46 -10 40
12 Genoa 32 9 12 11 29 38 -9 39
13 Como 32 9 9 14 40 48 -8 36
14 Verona 32 9 5 18 30 59 -29 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 32 47 -15 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 37 51 -14 28
17 Lecce 32 6 8 18 23 52 -29 26
18 Venezia 32 4 12 16 25 44 -19 24
19 Empoli 32 4 12 16 24 50 -26 24
20 Monza 32 2 9 21 25 56 -31 15

Recent Trends

Parma ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Inter (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 2)

Juventus ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.15
# Clean Sheets: 2

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.08
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Juventus is predicted to emerge victorious against Parma with a significant 80% probability of winning. In contrast, Parma has a mere 10% chance of pulling off a home victory. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, reflecting the 39% probability of exceeding that mark. Currently, Juventus stands at 4th place in Serie A, while Parma is struggling near the relegation zone at 16th place.

Match Analysis

Parma has shown resilience in their last three matches, managing to hold Fiorentina, Inter, and Verona to draws. However, their low goal-scoring average of 1.4 goals in the last five games has been mirrored by a similar rate of goals conceded, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. They have, however, managed two clean sheets, hinting at some defensive solidity when needed. Juventus, meanwhile, has had a mixed bag of results, with victories against Lecce and Genoa sandwiching a draw with Roma. Their goal-scoring average sits at 1.0 per game in the last five outings, which isn't particularly prolific for a top-four team. However, their defense has been relatively reliable, conceding 1.4 goals on average, alongside one clean sheet in the same period. The advanced metrics reveal that Juventus's expected goals and goals conceded are slightly better than Parma's, suggesting a lean towards the Turin giants.

Final Prediction

Juventus's edge over Parma lies in their superior league standing and overall quality in the squad. Their ability to grind out results, even when not at their best, is a testament to their experience and depth. A key factor to watch will be Juventus's ability to break down Parma's defense, which, despite recent struggles, has been able to hold top teams to draws. This resilience might just be the pivotal point of the encounter.