Serie A 2025-2026: Pisa vs Sassuolo Prediction
Pisa
Home Team
28%
VS
Sassuolo
Away Team
50%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 22 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 52 |
| 2 | Milan | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 47 |
| 3 | Roma | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 43 |
| 4 | Napoli | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 43 |
| 5 | Juventus | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 42 |
| 6 | Como | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 40 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
| 8 | Bologna | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 30 |
| 9 | Lazio | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 29 |
| 10 | Udinese | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Genoa | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Cremonese | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Parma | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 23 |
| 16 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 23 |
| 17 | Lecce | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 18 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 17 |
| 19 | Pisa | 22 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 | Verona | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 14 |
Recent Trends
Pisa
- Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 2 - 6)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)
Sassuolo
- Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Pisa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.47
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.74
# Clean Sheets:
0
Sassuolo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.61
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Pisa and Sassuolo is predicted to favor the visiting team, Sassuolo, with a 50.0% probability of winning. Pisa, sitting at the bottom of Serie A, has only a 28.0% chance of clinching the victory. The likelihood of a draw is 22.0%. Fans should anticipate a high-scoring affair, with a 50.0% chance of over 2.5 goals. Currently, Sassuolo occupies the 11th spot on the table, while Pisa struggles in 19th place, teetering on the edge of relegation.
Match Analysis
Pisa's recent form has been less than inspiring, with a heavy 6-2 defeat against league leaders Inter, followed by two consecutive home draws against Atalanta and Udinese, each ending in a stalemate. Despite scoring in these games, their defense has been porous, conceding eight goals over the last three matches. Their advanced metrics reveal an average of 0.2 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per game in their last five outings, highlighting a struggling defense and lethargic attack.
Conversely, Sassuolo has experienced mixed results, securing a narrow 1-0 victory against Cremonese but suffering back-to-back losses against Napoli and Roma. Their metrics suggest a slightly better form compared to Pisa, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game in the last five matches. Notably, Sassuolo managed a clean sheet in one of these games, indicating an occasional defensive resilience that Pisa lacks.
Final Prediction
Sassuolo's higher league standing and recent win against Cremonese gives them an edge over Pisa. Their ability to occasionally keep clean sheets, combined with Pisa's defensive vulnerabilities, positions them as favorites. A key factor to watch will be whether Sassuolo can capitalize on Pisa's defensive frailties to secure a vital three points.