Serie A 2024-2025: Torino vs Roma Prediction

Torino

Home Team
17%
VS

Roma

Away Team
69%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 37 23 10 4 57 27 30 79
2 Inter 37 23 9 5 77 35 42 78
3 Atalanta 37 22 8 7 76 34 42 74
4 Juventus 37 17 16 4 55 33 22 67
5 Roma 37 19 9 9 54 35 19 66
6 Lazio 37 18 11 8 61 48 13 65
7 Fiorentina 37 18 8 11 57 39 18 62
8 Bologna 37 16 14 7 56 44 12 62
9 Milan 37 17 9 11 59 43 16 60
10 Como 37 13 10 14 49 50 -1 49
11 Torino 37 10 14 13 39 43 -4 44
12 Udinese 37 12 8 17 39 53 -14 44
13 Genoa 37 9 13 15 34 48 -14 40
14 Cagliari 37 9 9 19 40 54 -14 36
15 Verona 37 9 7 21 32 65 -33 34
16 Parma 37 6 15 16 41 56 -15 33
17 Lecce 37 7 10 20 26 58 -32 31
18 Empoli 37 6 13 18 32 57 -25 31
19 Venezia 37 5 14 18 30 53 -23 29
20 Monza 37 3 9 25 28 67 -39 18

Recent Trends

Torino ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 0)

Roma ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.51
# Clean Sheets: 1

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Torino and Roma is predicted to tilt heavily in favor of Roma, who have a 69.0% chance of securing victory. On the other hand, Torino's probability of winning is a modest 17.0%, with the likelihood of a draw standing at 14.0%. Given these predictions, the matchup is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, aligning with the under_2_5 goals prediction. Roma currently sits in 5th place in Serie A, while Torino is positioned at 11th.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Torino has been struggling, with a winless streak in their last three games. They suffered defeats against Lecce and Inter and managed only a draw against Venezia. This suggests a challenging phase for the Turin-based side, who have only managed to score once across these matches. Meanwhile, Roma enters the fixture with a more favorable record, having secured wins against Milan and Fiorentina, though they did fall short against Atalanta. Analyzing the advanced metrics, Torino has averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded in their last five games. Their expected goals scored is slightly higher at 1.226, indicating they may not be capitalizing on scoring opportunities. Roma, on the other hand, boasts an average of 1.0 goals scored and a notably lower 0.6 goals conceded, along with a higher expected goals scored of 1.7. This suggests a more potent attack coupled with a solid defense, highlighted by three clean sheets in their last five encounters.

Final Prediction

Roma is favored to emerge victorious due to their superior form and defensive resilience. The key factor to watch during the game will be Roma's ability to maintain their defensive solidity, which has been crucial in their recent successes. Torino will need to break their scoring drought to stand a chance against a well-organized Roma side.