Serie A 2024-2025: Torino vs Udinese Prediction

Torino

Home Team
42%
VS

Udinese

Away Team
34%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 32 21 8 3 72 31 41 71
2 Napoli 32 20 8 4 51 25 26 68
3 Atalanta 32 18 7 7 65 30 35 61
4 Juventus 32 15 14 3 49 30 19 59
5 Bologna 32 15 12 5 51 37 14 57
6 Lazio 32 16 8 8 53 43 10 56
7 Roma 32 15 9 8 47 32 15 54
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 49 32 17 53
9 Milan 32 14 9 9 51 37 14 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 36 37 -1 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 36 46 -10 40
12 Genoa 32 9 12 11 29 38 -9 39
13 Como 32 9 9 14 40 48 -8 36
14 Verona 32 9 5 18 30 59 -29 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 32 47 -15 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 37 51 -14 28
17 Lecce 32 6 8 18 23 52 -29 26
18 Venezia 32 4 12 16 25 44 -19 24
19 Empoli 32 4 12 16 24 50 -26 24
20 Monza 32 2 9 21 25 56 -31 15

Recent Trends

Torino ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)

Udinese ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.16
# Clean Sheets: 1

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.51
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Torino and Udinese is predicted to tilt in favor of the home team, Torino, with a 42.0% probability of victory. In contrast, Udinese has a 34.0% chance of winning, and there's a 24.0% likelihood of a draw. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with a 46.0% probability that the total goals will be under 2.5. In the Serie A standings, Torino and Udinese are neck and neck, both sitting at 40 points, with Torino in 10th place and Udinese in 11th, separated only by goal difference.

Match Analysis

Torino's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last three matches resulting in a loss to Como and two consecutive draws against Verona and Lazio. Despite these challenges, Torino has shown resilience, managing to score in both draws. Their defensive record is relatively solid, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals in their last five games, which could be pivotal in their match against Udinese. Torino's expected goals metric suggests they are slightly underperforming in attack, averaging 1.02 expected goals but only scoring 1.4 on average in recent matches. Udinese, on the other hand, is experiencing a rough patch with three successive defeats, including a heavy 4-0 loss to Milan and a narrow 1-0 defeat by Genoa. Despite these setbacks, Udinese's expected goals statistics indicate they are capable of creating scoring opportunities, with an average of 1.3 expected goals per game. However, their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.0 goals over their last five fixtures, which has hampered their ability to secure points.

Final Prediction

Torino seems to have an edge in this matchup, partly due to their slightly better defensive record and the advantage of playing at home. Their ability to maintain a tighter defensive line could prove crucial against an Udinese side struggling to convert opportunities into goals. A key factor to watch will be whether Torino can capitalize on their expected goals to translate opportunities into a winning performance.